In this article we will formulate an Oilers vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, May 25th at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the Western Conference Finals.
Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview
The Edmonton Oilers tied the series at one with a 3-0 win in game two on Friday night. Edmonton scored once in the first period and they added two in the second to seal the victory. The Oilers recorded 25 shots on goal, won 40.4% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from Brown, Nugent-Hopkins, and Kulak, while Skinner stopped all 25 shots that he saw in the shutout win.
Prior to this series, the Oilers defeated the Golden Knights in five games in the second round and the Kings in six games in the first round. Edmonton had plenty of trouble in the first 2.5 games against Los Angeles in the first round, but they have won nine of their last eleven games. Edmonton has scored 3.16 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 78.2% on the penalty kill this season. Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid have led Edmonton with 20 points, while Evan Bouchard has added 15 points in the playoffs. Stuart Skinner is 3-4 with a 2.90 goals against average and an .890 save percentage in the postseason.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars were able to get a win in game one of this series by a score of 6-3, but they were shutout in game two to even the series. In their game two loss, Dallas allowed a goal in the first six minutes of the game and they never recovered, as they weren’t able to find the back of the net. The Stars recorded 25 shots on goal, won 59.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Dallas was led by Granlund, Hintz, Johnston, and Harley, who all had three shots on goal, while Granlund led the team with seven hits. Jake Oettinger stopped 22 out of 25 shots in the loss, which was an .880 save percentage.
Prior to this series, the Stars defeated the Jets in six games in the second round and the Avalanche in seven games in the first round. Dallas was able to erase a two goal deficit in game seven against Colorado and they got great goaltending against Winnipeg to move on. Dallas has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 22% on the power play and 82% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with nine goals, 11 assists, and 43 shots on goal, while Harley and Hintz both have 11 points in the postseason. Jake Oettinger is 9-6 with a 2.54 goals against average and a .915 save percentage in the playoffs.
Why the Oilers will beat the Stars
- The Oilers have won each of their last six day games at Rogers Place.
- The Stars have lost four of their last five road games.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a home loss.
- The home team has covered the puck line in four of the last five games between the Stars and Oilers.
- The Oilers have won the second period in each of their last six games against Central Division opponents when leading after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Oilers’ last six home games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Stars’ last nine road games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last 12 home games against Central Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Stars’ last eight day games.
Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts
- Zach Hyman has scored a goal in four of the Oilers’ last five day games at Rogers Place.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last nine games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
- Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for Goals (52) this season.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Wyatt Johnston has scored the first goal in three of the Stars’ last four road games against the Oilers.
- Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in each of his last five road playoff appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances in day playoff games.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in each of his last 13 appearances in Game 3s of a playoff series.
- Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for shots per game this season (32.0).
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.24).
- The Dallas Stars rank T3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.35).
- The Dallas Stars rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.02%).
Oilers vs Stars Prediction
Edmonton was able to get a huge win in game two of this series and they have been the better team for five of the six periods to start this series. The Oilers were in control of game one, but they collapsed in the third for the loss. Edmonton has been great on home ice all season long and they have allowed zero goals in three of their last four games overall. I expect a better effort from Dallas in this game, but this Edmonton offense is going to be too much on home ice. Take the Oilers to win.