In this article we will formulate an Oilers vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, May 27th at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup in the Western Conference Finals.
Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview
The Edmonton Oilers are up 2-1 in the series after they won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 3-6, 3-0, and 6-1. In their game three win, Edmonton had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they scored the last four goals in the game for the blowout win. The Oilers recorded 24 shots on goal, won 47.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from Hyman (2), McDavid (2), Bouchard, and Klingberg, while Hyman led the way with 10 hits. Stuart Skinner stopped 33 out of 34 shots in the game, which was a .971 save percentage.
Prior to this series, the Oilers defeated the Golden Knights in five games in the second round and the Kings in six games in the first round. Edmonton had plenty of trouble in the first 2.5 games against Los Angeles in the first round, but they have won 10 of their last 12 games. Edmonton has scored 3.16 goals per game and they have allowed 2.87 goals against per game, while also going 23.7% on the power play and 78.2% on the penalty kill this season. Connor McDavid has led Edmonton with five goals, 17 assists, and 53 shots on goal, while Leon Draisaitl has added six goals, 15 assists, and 39 shots on goal. Stuart Skinner is 4-4 with a 2.66 goals against average and a .902 save percentage in the postseason.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars are down 2-1 in the series after they lost game three by a score of 6-1 on Sunday afternoon. Dallas cut the deficit to 2-1 in the second period and they controlled much of the first two periods, but they were blown out in the third for the loss. The Stars recorded 34 shots on goal, won 52.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Dallas got their lone goal from Robertson, while Bichsel led the Stars with five hits. Jake Oettinger stopped 18 out of 24 shots in the game, which was just a .750 save percentage.
Prior to this series, the Stars defeated the Jets in six games in the second round and the Avalanche in seven games in the first round. Dallas was able to erase a two goal deficit in game seven against Colorado and they got great goaltending against Winnipeg to move on. Dallas has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 22% on the power play and 82% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with nine goals, 12 assists, and 45 shots on goal, while Harley and Hintz both have 11 points in the postseason. Jake Oettinger is 9-7 with a 2.76 goals against average and a .906 save percentage in the playoffs.
Why the Oilers will beat the Stars
- The Oilers have won each of their last eight Game 4s of a playoff series.
- The Stars have lost five of their last six road games.
- The Oilers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games following a home win.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six road games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Stars have lost the second period in seven of their last eight games as underdogs when tied after the first period.
Why the Stars will beat the Oilers
- The Stars have won six of their last nine games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Oilers have lost 13 of their last 24 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 13 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Stars have won the third period in nine of their last 10 games against opponents on a winning streak.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Oilers’ last seven home games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Stars’ last four games as road underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last 13 home games against Central Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 10 games against opponents on a winning streak.
Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts
- Zach Hyman has scored at least one goal in each of the Oilers’ last four home games against the Stars.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last 10 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
- Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last 10 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.
- Leon Draisaitl ranks 1st in the league for Goals (52) this season.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Wyatt Johnston has scored the first goal in three of the Stars’ last four night games at Rogers Place.
- Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in each of his last six appearances in night playoff games at Rogers Place.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances at Rogers Place.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one point in each of his last 13 playoff appearances at Rogers Place.
- Esa Lindell ranks T2nd in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+34) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for shots per game this season (32.0).
- The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.24).
- The Dallas Stars rank T3rd in the league for goals per game this season (3.35).
- The Dallas Stars rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.02%).
Oilers vs Stars Prediction
Edmonton was able to pull away in game three for the blowout victory, but Dallas played pretty well in the first two periods. The Stars were able to generate a bunch of chances, but Skinner was outstanding in goal for Edmonton. We have seen Skinner be either very good or very bad for Edmonton in the postseason, so it wouldn’t surprise me to see him take a step back here. On the other end of the ice, we know Edmonton’s offense is lethal and Oettinger has struggled in the series. Take the over here.