The Toronto Maple Leafs and the Ottawa Senators meet in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Centre on Thursday night. It’s another installment of the Battle of Ontario, who comes out on top? Let’s take a look and give a Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this one looking to bounce back from a 4-3 OT loss to Boston last time out. William Nylander leads the Leafs in points with 29 points this season including 12 goals and a team-high 17 assists while Auston Matthews has 25 points with a team-high 16 goals. Mitch Marner has 24 points with 16 assists while John Tavares has 21 points with 7 goals and 14 assists this season. Joseph Woll has posted a 8-5-1 record with a 2.82 GAA and a .915 save percentage while Ilya Samsonov is 4-1-3 with a 3.58 GAA and an .878 save percentage between the pipes for Toronto this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

The Maple Leafs have lost five of their last seven games as favorites after coming off overtime.
The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 16 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in five of their last six games at Canadian Tire Centre after coming off overtime.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games after coming off overtime.

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Ottawa Senators Team Preview

The Ottawa Senators come into this game on the heels of a 6-2 win over the New York Rangers in their last game. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa in scoring with 24 points including a team-high 19 assists along with 5 goals. Claude Giroux has 19 points with 7 goals and 12 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 19 points with a team-high 13 goals. Drake Batherson has 17 points with 8 goals and 9 assists and Vladimir Tarasenko also has 17 points with 12 assists. Mathieu Joseph also has 16 points with 11 assists. Joonas Korpisalo has gone 5-6 with a 3.41 GAA and a .897 save percentage in goal for Ottawa while Anton Forsberg is 5-4 with a 2.91 GAA and an .891 save percentage in goal for the Senators.

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

The Senators have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Senators have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games against the Maple Leafs at Canadian Tire Centre.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last 16 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The road team has won the second period in each of the last four games between the Maple Leafs and Senators.

Matchup/League Facts

The Ottawa Senators ranks 28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.53%).
The Ottawa Senators ranks 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).
The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.24%).
The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only three teams to win 5+ games when trailing after Period 1 this season.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Prediction

I’m taking the Maple Leafs here. These Battle of Ontario games can always get a bit feisty, but the Leafs have revenge on their minds after a loss in the first meeting earlier this season and it’s not often you’re going to get Toronto at these kinds of prices, even on the road. Ottawa’s done a good job winning games at home, but I think in this spot, it’s Maple Leafs or pass for me here.