In this article, we will formulate a Penguins vs Sabres Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, February 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Buffalo Sabres Preview
The Sabres have 70 points this season with a 32-18-6 record, and are 33-23 ATS and 26-26 in over/under. They have a 17-7-3 home record and a 15-11-3 road record and are sitting 4th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-3 road overtime loss to the Lightning, and their previous three games were a 5-3 road win over the Panthers, a 4-2 home loss to the Canadiens, and a 4-1 home win over the Kings.
Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 3.39 goals per game and are scoring 20.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.05 goals per game and are killing 82.1% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 58 points and 29 goals, while Rasmus Dahlin leads the team in assists with 36. Alex Lyon is the starting goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 14-7-3 record, with 2.66 GAA and .914 SV%. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the backup goalie and he has a 11-7-2 record, with 2.73 GAA and .903 SV%.
Pittsburgh Penguins Preview
The Penguins have 68 points this season with a 28-15-12 record, and are 33-22 ATS and 28-25 in over/under. They have a 13-8-7 home record and a 15-7-5 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-4 road overtime loss to the Islanders, and their previous three games were a 3-2 home win over the Senators, a 6-5 home win over the Rangers, and a 6-2 home win over the Blackhawks.
Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.38 goals per game and are scoring 26.4% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.91 goals per game and are killing 84.2% of their opponent’s power plays.
Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 59 points and 27 goals, while leading the team in assists with 32. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 19-12-5 record, with 2.79 GAA and .890 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 10-7-8 record, with 2.97 GAA and .895 SV%.
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Buffalo Sabres Betting Trends: February 5, 2026
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Sabres have won each of their last eight night games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Penguins have lost five of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last seven night games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games at KeyBank Center.
- The Sabres have won the second period in eight of their last nine games as favorites.
Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win
- The Penguins have won each of their last three games as road underdogs.
- The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Penguins have won the first period in each of their last seven games against the Sabres after coming off overtime.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Sabres’ last eight games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Penguins’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the last 11 games between the Penguins and Sabres.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last 11 games after coming off overtime.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Rasmus Dahlin has scored at least one goal in each of the Sabres’ last three games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
- Ryan McLeod has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Sabres’ last eight games as favorites.
- Tage Thompson has recorded at least four shots in each of his last four appearances – longest active streak in the league.
Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts
- Yegor Chinakhov has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last five night games.
- Tommy Novak has recorded an assist in each of the Penguins’ last four road games.
- Yegor Chinakhov has recorded two points against the Sabres this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.39).
- The Buffalo Sabres have recorded the equal-longest road winning streak (7 games) in the NHL this season.
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (26.39%).
- The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.18%).
Penguins vs Sabres Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Penguins won 4-2 at home and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Sabres.
In this Penguins vs Sabres Prediction, the Sabres are coming as -129 home favorites. Both teams have almost the same number of points this season but the Sabres have been very good at home. Both teams have been in excellent form lately, with a 6-2 record in their last 8 games respectively, so it is hard to pick a side. Both teams are 9-3 to the over in their last 12 games combined, as they average 6.77 goals per game combined. The over is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings and I expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over 6.5 goals in this one.