Red Wings vs Blues Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored at least four goals in all three of those wins, but Dylan Larkin continues to be a distraction. The Red Wings are 4-3-1 at home this year, while the Blues are 2-4-0 on the road. St. Louis has won three of their last five games, but they have scored two goals or fewer in three of their last five. Neither offense is very high scoring and both defenses have been solid so far, so I am going to take the under in this one.
Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview
The Detroit Red Wings are 6-4-3 this year after they defeated the Blackhawks by a score of 4-1 in their last game. Detroit trailed 1-0 after the first period, but they scored once in the second and three times in the third for the win. The Red Wings out shot Chicago by a total of 31-19, won 55.8% of the face-offs, and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Detroit was led by Viktor Arvidsson, who had three goals and one assist, while Lucas Raymond added one goal. John Gibson stopped 18 out of 19 shots in the win.
Prior to that game, Detroit defeated the Oilers by a score of 4-3, but lost to the Flames by a score of 4-1 before that. The Red Wings have scored 2.69 goals per game and they have allowed 2.77 goals against per game, while also going 21.7% on the power play and 66.7% on the penalty kill this season. Alex DeBrincat has led the team with six goals and nine assists, while Viktor Arvidsson has added eight goals and six assists. John Gibson is 4-4-1 with a 3.15 goals against average and an .874 save percentage this year.
St. Louis Blues Betting Preview
The St. Louis Blues are 6-6-1 this season after they defeated the Bruins by a score of 4-1 in their last game. St. Louis trailed 1-0 early in the first period, but they scored the last four goals to get the win. The Blues were out shot by a total of 32-18, won 44.4% of the face-offs, and went 2-3 on the power play in the game. St. Louis was led by Robert Thomas, who had one goal and two assists, while Philip Broberg added one goal and two assists. Joel Hofer stopped 31 out of 32 shots in the victory.
Prior to that game, St. Louis lost to the Canadiens by a score of 2-0 and the Hurricanes by a score of 4-0. The Blues have scored 3.00 goals per game and they have allowed 2.92 goals against per game, while also going 25.7% on the power play and 85.3% on the penalty kill this season. Dylan Holloway has led the team with three goals and eight assists, while Mason McTavish has added six goals and four assists. Joel Hofer is 4-3-1 with a 2.24 goals against average and a .923 save percentage this season.
Why the Detroit Red Wings will win
- The Red Wings have won each of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Blues have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 games as home underdogs following a home win.
- The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Red Wings have won the third period in each of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
Why the St. Louis Blues will win
- The Blues have won 14 of their last 16 day games.
- The Red Wings have lost each of their last four day games at Little Caesars Arena.
- The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight Saturday home games.
- The Blues have covered the puck line in 14 of their last 16 day games.
- The Blues have won the third period in each of their last six road games following a win.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the Red Wings’ last eight games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Five of the Blues’ last six day games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Blues’ last nine games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 15 of the Red Wings’ last 16 games following a win.
Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts
- Viktor Arvidsson has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances against Central Division opponents.
- Alex DeBrincat has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last five games against Central Division opponents.
- Lucas Raymond ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (2) this season.
St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts
- Jimmy Snuggerud has scored at least one goal in four of the Blues’ last five games as favorites.
- Dylan Holloway has recorded at least one assist in each of the Blues’ last five games as favorites.
- Mason McTavish ranks T2nd in the league for Game Winning Goals (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 29th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (66.67%).
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.77).
- The St. Louis Blues rank 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.29%).
- The St. Louis Blues rank 8th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.71%).
Positive Trends
As we take a look at the trends for this matchup, you can see the over is getting some love, but I am going against it. Detroit is going to struggle on offense without Larkin and Hofer has been one of the better goalies in the league. On the other side, Detroit has gone under in seven of their last eight games against Central opponents. Take the under here.