In this article, we will formulate a Senators vs Avalanche Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, January 8th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Colorado Avalanche Preview
The Avalanche have 69 points this season with a 31-4-7 record, and are 23-19 ATS and 18-24 in over/under. They have a 17-0-2 home record and a 14-4-5 road record and are sitting 1st in the Central Division. They are coming off a 4-2 road loss to the Lightning, and their previous three games were a 2-1 road loss to the Panthers, a 5-3 road win over the Hurricanes, and a 6-1 home win over the Blues.
Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.95 goals per game and are scoring 16.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.21 goals per game and are killing 85.0% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 74 points, also leading the team in goals with 35, adding a team-high 39 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 18-3-4 record, with 2.20 GAA and .917 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 13-1-1 record, with 2.07 GAA and .924 SV%.
Ottawa Senators Preview
The Senators have 45 points this season with a 20-17-5 record, and are 16-26 ATS and 25-17 in over/under. They have a 10-8-3 home record and a 10-9-2 road record and are sitting 8th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-1 road loss to the Mammoth, and their previous three games were a 5-3 home loss to the Red Wings, a 4-2 home win over the Jets, and a 4-3 home win over the Capitals.
Offensively, the Senators are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 24.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.26 goals per game and are killing 73.8% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 45 points, also leading the team in goals with 19, adding a team-high 26 assists. Linus Ullmark is the starting goalie for the Senators, and he has a 14-8-5 record, with 2.95 GAA and .881 SV%. Leevi Merilainen is the backup goalie and he has a 6-8 record, with 3.47 GAA and .868 SV%.
Ottawa Senators @ Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends: January 8, 2026
Why the Colorado Avalanche will win
- The Avalanche have won each of their last 15 home games.
- The Senators have lost each of their last six games at Ball Arena.
- The Avalanche have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games.
- The Senators have lost the second period in each of their last six games against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won three of their last four games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Avalanche have lost each of their last two games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Senators have won the third period in four of their last five games as underdogs when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between the Senators and Avalanche have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Senators’ last eight road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last seven home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games at Ball Arena.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in eight of the Avalanche’s last 10 home games.
- Cale Makar has recorded at least one assist in each of the Avalanche’s last 14 Thursday games.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- David Perron has scored at least one goal in three of his last four road appearances against the Avalanche.
- Jake Sanderson has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last four games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.95).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.21).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 31st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.77%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 7th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.11%).
Senators vs Avalanche Prediction
The Avalanche are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings against the Senators and the over is 7-0-1 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Senators vs Avalanche Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -270 home favorites. The Avalanche have been the best team in hockey this season, having the most points, wins and have an insane 17-0-2 home record so far. They are also the best team both offensively and defensively and are facing a Senators squad that is just 2-5 in their last 7 games and have been dominating them historically, with the last Senators win in this matchup going back to 2021. Take the Avalanche to dominate this game and cover the puckline.