In this article we will formulate a Senators vs Ducks prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, March 14th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators are 32-23-9 this season after they lost to the Canadiens by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Ottawa led 2-1 after the first period, but they allowed a goal in the second and third for the loss. The Senators out shot Montreal by a total of 34-23, won 50.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got both of their goals from Batherson, while Ullmark stopped 20 out of 23 shots, which was an .870 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Ottawa defeated the Canucks by a score of 2-0 and the Kraken by a score of 7-4. The Senators have won three of their last four games and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 73 points. Ottawa has scored 3.33 goals per game and they have allowed 3.14 goals against per game, while also going 23.2% on the power play and 73.3% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 30 goals and 40 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 25 goals and 32 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 19-9-7 with a 2.85 goals against average and an .883 save percentage this season.
Anaheim Ducks Betting Preview
The Anaheim Ducks are 36-26-3 this year after they lost to the Maple Leafs by a score of 6-4 in their last game. Anaheim led 3-1 in the second period, but they allowed the next five goals for the disappointing loss. The Ducks out shot Toronto by a total of 40-28, won 43.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. Anaheim got goals from Gauthier, Killorn, Mintyukov, and Moore, while Dostal stopped 22 out of 27 shots, which was an .815 save percentage.
Prior to that game, Anaheim defeated the Jets by a score of 4-1, but lost to the Blues by a score of 4-0 before that. The Ducks have won three of their last five games and they are currently first in the Pacific standings with 75 points. Anaheim has scored 3.25 goals per game and they have allowed 3.51 goals against per game, while also going 17.4% on the power play and 76.8% on the penalty kill this season. Cutter Gauthier has led Anaheim with 33 goals and 25 assists, while Leo Carlsson has added 21 goals and 31 assists. The projected starting goalie for Anaheim is Lukas Dostal, who is 26-15-2 with a 3.06 goals against average and an .891 save percentage this year.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won seven of their last eight day games at Canadian Tire Centre following a loss.
- The Ducks have lost 14 of their last 17 away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
- The Ducks have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
- The Senators have won the second period in each of their last five games against Pacific Division opponents.
Why the Anaheim Ducks will win
- The underdogs have won four of the Ducks’ last five games.
- The Senators have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Senators’ last seven games.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites following a loss.
- The road team has won the second period in each of the Senators’ last eight games.
Total Goals Facts
- Eight of the Ducks’ last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Ducks and Senators at Canadian Tire Centre have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Ducks’ last nine games following a road loss.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight Saturday games.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Dylan Cozens has scored at least one goal in four of the Senators’ last five games against Pacific Division opponents.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Senators’ last 10 games as home favorites.
- Lars Eller has recorded a faceoff win percentage of 75.0% against the Ducks this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts
- Cutter Gauthier has scored at least one goal in five of the Ducks’ last six games as underdogs.
- Jackson LaCombe has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Ducks’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
- Leo Carlsson has recorded a career faceoff win percentage of 52.8% against the Senators (min. 5 faceoffs) – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.26%).
- The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in save percentage this season (.875).
- The Anaheim Ducks rank 31st in the league for goals against per game this season (3.51).
- The Anaheim Ducks rank 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.78%).
Senators vs Ducks Prediction
Ottawa comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have allowed three goals or fewer in three of their last four. The Senators are 14-11-5 at home this year, while the Ducks are 14-16-2 on the road. Anaheim continues to struggle defensively, as they just allowed six goals to a bad Toronto team. The Ducks have been inconsistent over their last three games, but I do think they have value in this spot, as they have been pretty good bouncing back from a loss. Take the Ducks and the plus money here.