Senators vs Lightning Pick – NHL Predictions & Odds 3/23/23

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Ottawa Senators meet Thursday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.5 goals per game and are scoring on 25.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Brayden Point leads Tampa Bay with 44 goals, Nikita Kucherov has 72 assists and Steven Stamkos has 219 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 79.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has given up 146 goals on 1,680 shots faced, and Brian Elliott has allowed 57 goals on 542 shots.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.1 goals per game and are scoring on 24 percent of their power play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 35 goals, Brady Tkachuk has 42 assists and Alex DeBrincat has 230 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3.3 goals per game and are killing 82.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anton Forsberg has allowed 80 goals on 817 shots faced, and Cam Talbot has given up 83 goals on 874 shots.

The Lightning are 42-16 in their last 58 games playing on 1 days rest and 82-35 in their last 117 Thursday games. The Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games and 1-6 in their last 7 overall. The over is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 Thursday games. The over is 10-4 in Senators last 14 overall. The Lightning are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Ottawa and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. The favorite is 39-14 in the last 53 meetings. The home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

The Ottawa Senators are pretty much eliminated from playoff contention, and they’re playing like it, losing 6 of their last 7 games. The Tampa Bay Lightning usually beat the teams they’re supposed to beat, and they’re still fighting for playoff seeding. You typically get the Lightning are more expensive prices in spots like this. Give me the road team and the reasonable juice.