
Senators vs Panthers Prediction 4/5/25 NHL Picks Today
Florida Panthers (44-27-4) vs. Ottawa Senators (40-29-6)
April 5, 2025 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ottawa Senators +110 / Florida Panthers -130; Over/Under: 5.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida Panthers and the Ottawa Senators meet Saturday in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida Panthers vs. Ottawa Senators prediction.
Matchup History
These two teams have split the two regular season meetings between these two teams, with the home team winning both matchups. The Senators won the first meeting in Ottawa 3-1 back on October 10th, 2024, before Florida got revenge, 5-1, on February 8th, 2025. The Panthers have won 6 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
Florida Panthers Recap
The Florida Panthers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss at the hands of the Toronto Maple Leafs last time out to fall to 44-27-4 on the year. After this game, the Panthers will head on the road again for a game against the Detroit Red Wings.
Panthers Drop 3rd Game In A Row
Sam Reinhart has a team-high 78 points including 37 goals and 41 assists while Sam Bennett has 50 points with 25 goals and 25 assists and Anton Lundell has 43 points of his own with 16 goals and 27 assists. Aleksander Barkov also has 67 points with 48 assists of his own while Carter Verhaeghe has 47 points with 17 goals and 30 assists and Matthew Tkachuk has 57 points with 22 goals and 35 assists. Sergei Bobrovsky is 31-17-2 with a 2.45 GAA and a .906 save percentage in goal for Florida this season. Vitek Vanecek is also 1-2-1 with a 3.02 GAA and an .889 in goal for the Panthers this year.
Why the Florida Panthers will win
- The Panthers have won seven of their last eight road games against the Senators following a road loss.
- The Senators have lost five of their last six day games at Canadian Tire Centre following a home win.
- The Panthers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games at Canadian Tire Centre following a road loss.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a win.
Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts
- Matthew Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of his last seven appearances with the Panthers as favorites.
- Aaron Ekblad has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Panthers’ last game.
- Matthew Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with the Panthers as favorites.
- Gustav Forsling has scored two goals against the Senators this season – most against any opponent.
Ottawa Senators Recap
The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to a 2-1 win over the Tampa Bay Lightning last time out to improve to 40-29-6 on the year. After this game, the Senators will welcome the Columbus Blue Jackets to town for the first leg of a home-and-home.
Senators Looking To Inch Closer To Playoff Spot
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 72 points including 21 goals and 51 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 55 points with a team-high 29 goals and 26 assists. Drake Batherson has 59 points with 21 goals and 38 assists and Claude Giroux has 15 goals and 32 assists while Jake Sanderson also has 51 points with 10 goals and 41 assists so far this season. Linus Ullmark is 22-14-3 with a 2.75 GAA and a .909 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage and Anton Forsberg is 9-11-2 with a 2.68 GAA and a .901 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Senators have won each of their last seven day games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Panthers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games as favorites.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as underdogs following a home win.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Jake Sanderson has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last three home games.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last 10 games as underdogs.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in each of the Senators’ last 11 games as underdogs.
- Tim Stutzle has scored two goals against the Panthers this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Nine of the Senators’ last 10 day games at Canadian Tire Centre have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Panthers’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Florida Panthers vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction
I’m on the Senators in this game. I get the case to be made for the Panthers who are still fighting for the division title and for home ice in the first round of the playoffs, but the Senators have not locked up a playoff spot yet, and with how close it is, I think the Senators show up with a bit more bite in this matchup, especially with how much home ice has mattered in this matchup this season. Give me Ottawa.