St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction 11-14-23 NHL Picks

St. Louis Blues vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction 11-14-23 NHL Picks player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

In an intriguing NHL matchup, the Tampa Bay Lightning and St. Louis Blues are set to collide at the Enterprise Center on Tuesday night. The Lightning, (6-5-3, 16 points) are fifth in the Atlantic Division, are facing off against the Blues (7-5-1, 15 points) and are fourth in the Central Division. This game is not just a test of skill but also a battle of strategies, as both teams look to solidify their positions in their respective divisions.


 Seeking to Reignite the Spark

The Tampa Bay Lightning, with their sixthth place standing in the Atlantic Division, are looking to regain the form that has made them a powerhouse in recent years. They rank 5th in goals for (53), showcasing their offensive prowess. However, their defensive game has been less impressive, ranking 30th in goals against (54). This imbalance between their offensive strength and defensive vulnerabilities is a key area of concern. Right winger Nikita Kucherov, despite recent injury concerns, leads the team with 23 points (11 goals, 12 assists), demonstrating his critical role in the Lightning's attack. His shooting prowess, with a .175 shooting percentage from 63 shots, underscores his importance to the team’s offensive strategy.


Goaltending has been a challenge for Tampa Bay this season. Jonas Johansson, with a .899 save percentage and a 3.42 goals allowed per game average, has struggled to provide the consistent backstopping the team needs. The Lightning's power play, however, remains a strong suit, ranking fourth with a 31.4% efficiency. This aspect of their game, combined with their eighth-ranked penalty kill at 85.1%, shows that they have the special teams capabilities to turn games in their favor. However, for the Lightning to climb higher in their division standings, improvements in goaltending and defensive play are essential.


To rebound in upcoming games, Tampa Bay will need to rely on their offensive leaders like center Brayden Point and defenseman Victor Hedman, while seeking more stability from their goaltending. The team’s recent performance, including losses against Carolina and Chicago, indicates a need for more consistency in their game. The matchup against the Blues will be a crucial test of their ability to balance their potent offense with more robust defensive play.


Maintaining Momentum

The St. Louis Blues, currently fourth in the Central Division, have shown a more balanced approach this season. They rank 27th in goals for (36), indicating room for improvement in their offensive output. Defensively, however, they have been more effective, ranking seventh in goals against (35). This defensive strength has been a key factor in their successes so far. Center Robert Thomas, leading the team with 15 points (six goals, nine assists), has been a driving force in the Blues' offense. His positive plus/minus rating of 6 and a .207 shooting percentage from 29 shots demonstrate his efficiency and impact on the ice.


Goaltending has been a bright spot for St. Louis, with Jordan Binnington posting a .923 save percentage and a 2.52 goals allowed per game. His performances have been crucial in keeping the Blues competitive in games, even when their offense has struggled. The Blues' power play, however, has been a weak point, ranking 31st with only a 7.7% efficiency. This lack of power play productivity, combined with their 24th ranked penalty kill at 75.0%, suggests that special teams are an area where the Blues need significant improvement.


St. Louis will need to harness the defensive solidity and goaltending prowess of Binnington while finding ways to ignite their offense more consistently. Players like center Brayden Schenn and left winger Pavel Buchnevich will be key in boosting the team's offensive production. The Blues' recent performances, including a convincing win against Colorado, indicate their potential to compete at a high level. The upcoming game against the Lightning presents an opportunity to build on their strengths and address their weaknesses, particularly in their power play and penalty kill areas.


David's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning (-179)

Despite the recent struggles, the Tampa Bay Lightning are my pick for this matchup. Their offensive capability, led by stars like Kucherov and Point, coupled with their superior power play, gives them a significant edge over the Blues. While St. Louis boasts a strong defensive game and solid goaltending from Binnington, Tampa Bay's ability to execute on special teams could be the decisive factor. The Lightning's recent losses should serve as a wake-up call, sparking a resurgence starting with this game against the Blues. Expect Tampa Bay to leverage their offensive firepower and experience to secure a win in this closely contested matchup.

David Brown's Free Pick:Tampa Bay Lightning (-179)