In this article we will formulate a Stars vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 4th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars are 45-19-12 this season after they defeated the Jets by a score of 3-0 in their last game. Dallas scored two goals in the first period and they added a third in the second in the shutout victory. The Stars were out shot by a total of 22-21, won 45.0% of the face-offs, and went 1-1 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Duchene, Erne, and Hyry, while Oettinger stopped all 22 shots in the shutout win.
Prior to that game, Dallas lost to the Bruins by a score of 6-3 and the Flyers by a score of 2-1. The Stars have lost six of their last eight games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 102 points. Dallas has scored 3.33 goals per game and they have allowed 2.70 goals against per game, while also going 29.1% on the power play and 80.9% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 40 goals and 49 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 41 goals and 39 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 31-12-6 with a 2.61 goals against average and a .900 save percentage this season.
Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview
The Colorado Avalanche are 49-15-10 this year after they lost to the Canucks by a score of 8-6 in their last game. Colorado erased a 6-2 deficit with about six minutes left in the third, but they allowed two goals in the last 5:39 for the loss. The Avalanche out shot Vancouver by a total of 30-26, won 44.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Colorado got goals from Kelly, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Burns, and Malinski (2), while Blackwood stopped 13 out of 19 shots and Wedgewood stopped five out of six.
Prior to that game, Colorado defeated the Flames by a score of 9-2, but lost to the Jets by a score of 4-2 before that. The Avalanche have won five of their last seven games and they are currently first in the Central standings with 108 points. Colorado has scored 3.78 goals per game and they have allowed 2.53 goals against per game, while also going 17.9% on the power play and 83.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led Colorado with 50 goals and 71 assists, while Martin Necas has added 35 goals and 57 assists. The projected starting goalie for Colorado is Mackenzie Blackwood, who is 21-9-1 with a 2.57 goals against average and an .899 save percentage this season.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the Stars’ last 10 games.
- The Avalanche have lost 12 of their last 21 games as road favorites against Central Division opponents.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at American Airlines Center.
- The Stars have won the first period in each of their last five games as underdogs following a win.
Why the Colorado Avalanche will win
- The Avalanche have won 12 of their last 13 games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Stars have lost each of their last four day games.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 day games following a win.
- The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last four away games when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last six day games following a loss.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Avalanche’s last seven games as road favorites following a home loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Eleven of the last 12 games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Ten of the last 11 day games between two teams from the Central Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last six home games against Central Division opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last five games.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in five of the Stars’ last six home games.
- Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances against former teams.
Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts
- Martin Necas has scored at least one goal in nine of the Avalanche’s last 10 road games against Western Conference opponents.
- Gabriel Landeskog has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight road appearances against Western Conference opponents.
Stars vs Avalanche Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup after losing two of their last three games, but they are also safely in the playoffs. The Avalanche are 25-7-5 on the road this year, while the Stars are 23-10-4 at home. Dallas has allowed two goals or fewer in three of their last five games, while Colorado has scored at least six goals in three of their last five. The Avalanche are the better team, but I think Dallas has a little momentum and they are at home, so take the Stars here.