The Buffalo Sabres and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Thursday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.
Buffalo Sabres Recap
The Buffalo Sabres come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-3 shootout loss at the hands of the Montreal Canadiens last time out to sit at 3-3-1 this season. After this game, the Sabres will head on the road for a game against the Montreal Canadiens.
Sabres Lose 3 Of Last 4
Tage Thompson and Owen Power lead the Buffalo Sabres through seven games this season with 7 points each, with Thompson recording a team-high 4 goals alongside 3 assists, while Power contributes a team-high 6 assists and a goal. Noah Ostlund, Rasmus Dahlin, Mattias Samuelsson, Peyton Krebs, and Jack Quinn sit tied for second with 4 points apiece, with Ostlund, Dahlin, and Quinn each netting 2 goals, Samuelsson chipping in a goal and 3 assists, and Krebs adding 4 assists. Zach Benson and Olen Zellweger record 3 points each, with Zellweger potting 2 goals, while Jiri Kulich, Beck Malenstyn, Josh Norris, and Ryan McLeod each add 2 points. Konsta Helenius and Josh Doan round out Buffalo’s scoring with 1 point apiece. In net, Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen holds a 2-2-1 record with a 3.46 GAA and an .850 save percentage after stopping 91 of 107 shots, while Colten Ellis posts a 1-1-0 mark with a 3.19 GAA and an .864 save percentage after stopping 51 of 59 shots for the Sabres up to this point in the season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to shake off a 5-4 loss at the hands of the Utah Mammoth last time out to sit at 3-3-1 this season. After this game, the Maple Leafs will head home for a game against the Islanders.
Maple Leafs Alternate Wins & Losses In First 7 Games Of Season
Auston Matthews and William Nylander lead the Toronto Maple Leafs through seven games this season with 12 points each, with Matthews totaling 5 goals and a team-high 7 assists, while Nylander matches him with 5 goals and 7 assists. Kirill Marchenko sits in second with 6 points on a goal and 5 assists, while Gavin McKenna, John Tavares, Easton Cowan, and Jack Roslovic each record 5 points, with Tavares and McKenna potting 2 goals and 3 assists apiece, and Cowan and Roslovic each contributing 3 goals and 2 assists. Nick Paul and Morgan Rielly add 4 points each, while Darren Raddysh registers 3 points. Colton Sissons, Chris Tanev, and Nick Blankenburg round out Toronto’s scoring with 1 point apiece. In net, Sergei Bobrovsky holds a 1-2-1 record with a 2.97 GAA and a .907 save percentage after stopping 117 of 129 shots, while Anthony Stolarz posts a 2-1-0 mark with a 3.32 GAA and an .875 save percentage after stopping 70 of 80 shots for the Maple Leafs up to this point in the season.
Buffalo Sabres @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: October 15, 2026
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The Maple Leafs have won eight of their last nine home games against the Sabres following a road loss.
- The Sabres have lost four of their last five night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games after coming off overtime.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last three games.
- The favorites have won the second period in eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Sabres have won each of their last five games after coming off a shootout.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
- The Sabres have won the third period in each of their last seven road games when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Sabres’ last five road games following a shootout win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the last three games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 home games against the Sabres.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in nine of his last 11 appearances against the Sabres.
- Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.
- William Nylander has recorded at least four shots in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Ryan McLeod has recorded an assist in each of the Sabres’ last four games against the Maple Leafs.
- Tage Thompson has scored at least one goal in each of the Sabres’ last three games as underdogs against the Maple Leafs.
- Tage Thompson is the only player in the league to have recorded 6+ shots in three or more consecutive appearances this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (95.83%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (29.17%).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 30th in the league in power play percentage this season (11.11%).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 30th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (60.87%).
Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
I’m on the over in this game. These are two teams that can pile on the goals that also have major issues keeping the puck out of the net. We’ve seen a ton of overs for Toronto already and I think we have another one in this one. Give me the over in this one.