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Canelo Alvarez vs. Daniel Jacobs Boxing Pick, Odds, and Prediction - 5/4/19

Game
Canelo Alvarez vs. Daniel Jacobs
Date & Time Saturday May 4, 2019, 11:30 PM (EDT)
Location
T-Mobile Arena
Paradise, Nevada
The Line
The Line: Alvarez -470 / Jacobs +400 -- Over/Under: 10.5
TV Channel
DAZN
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Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Canelo Alvarez and Daniel Jacobs fight Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena for the Boxing Federation World Middleweight Title.

Canelo Alvarez enters this fight with a 51-1-2 record that includes 35 knockouts. Alvarez has won nine of his last 10 fights, and he’s coming off a December victory over Rocky Fielding. Alvarez made light work of his last opponent, getting a third round stoppage after constant pressure and shots the body. It was the first finish for Alvarez since his 2016 knockout against Liam Smith. Alvarez is 28 years old, stands at 5’8”, has a 70.5-inch reach and an orthodox stance. There’s really not much that can be said about Alvarez that hasn’t been said already, as he’s arguably the best pound for pound boxer in the world and has a resume that stacks up against anybody. Alvarez is a pressure style fighter who is always looking to be the aggressor, cuts the ring off well and lives off combinations and shots to the body. Alvarez has good technique and has more than proven his toughness in two fights against Gennady Golovkin where he spent majority of the rounds walking GGG down and welcoming a trade of bombs. Alvarez is simply a tank who does everything well and is very tough to find a weakness to expose. This will be Alvarez’s 12th career fight in Nevada.

Daniel Jacobs enters this fight with a 35-2 record that includes 29 knockouts. Jacobs has won six of his last seven fights, and he’s coming off an October win over Sergiy Derevyanchenko. Jacobs has won each of his last three fights since his decision loss to Gennady Golovkin and each of his last four fights have ended in decisions. Jacobs is a big middleweight at 32 years old who stands in at 5’11” and has a 73-inch reach, and that size along with his punching power makes him a very tough matchup for most opponents. Despite the lack of recent finishes, Jacobs packs some power in those hands and can land some nasty counters with a very lengthy jab. Jacobs doesn’t move around the ring much, but he has some decent head movement and doesn’t take as many clean shots as you would think a man this size would take. Jacobs is a stiff boxer who holds his ground, throws hard and clean, and will jump on his opponent the second they show a sign of being hurt. This will be Jacobs’ ninth career fight in Nevada.

Jacobs may not have the name that casual fans are familiar with, but the guy is a really good boxer with great power, technique and toughness. This will not be an easy fight where Alvarez will be able to walk him down and get whatever he wants with no worries. Jacobs holds his ground, counters well and his length could be an issue. Alvarez probably wins due him being a little slicker and quicker with his hands, he can mix up combinations a little tighter and he has a larger ticket to attack. This fight is also on May 4 and with Cinco de Mayo right around the corner, good luck seeing Canelo being handed a loss unless he’s sleeping on the canvas. You always have to factor in politics when it comes to boxing.

Alvarez should win this fight, but the smarter bet with less juice would be predicting a decision.

Pick:
Jacobs / Alvarez Goes Distance -195

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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