Jermall Charlo vs. Brandon Adams Boxing Pick, Odds, and Prediction - 6/29/19
Jermall Charlo vs. Brandon Adams
Saturday, June 29, 2019 at 9:00 PM (NRG Arena)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Jermall Charlo and Brandon Adams fight Saturday at the NRG Arena for the WBC interim middleweight title.
Jermall Charlo enters this fight with a 28-0 record that includes 21 knockouts. This will be Charlo’s third fight since 2018, and he’s coming off a December win over Matt Korobov. Charlo is coming off a controversial bout where he easily could have been given the loss in a fight where he was outboxed for most of the fight. Charlo did finish strong and looked like he was going to produce a knockout in the 12th round, but the fight was much closer than what the scorecards indicate. Either way, Charlo remains unbeaten and will defend his belt for the second time. Charlo is 29 years old, stands at 6’0”, has a 73.5-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Charlo is a gifted athlete who throws accurate punches, has a strong jab and a mean overhand right that’s dropped many of his opponents. Charlo has true knockout power in both hands and it’s led to five of his last seven fights ending in finishes. Charlo has quick feet and shows flashes of being able to slip punches, but he does have a habit of getting hit far more than you’d like from somebody who is supposed to be a top tier boxer. This will be Charlo’s eighth career fight in Texas, his birth state.
Brandon Adams enters this fight with a 21-2 record that includes 13 knockouts. Adams has won five of his last six fights, and he’s coming off a November win over Shane Mosley Jr. Adams gained some confidence and experience by winning the The Contender reality series and now gets a chance to add to that momentum in the biggest fight of his life. Before the tournament Adams had a questionable resume, but now he has a couple of respectable victories in Eric Walker and Ievgen Khytrov. Adams is 29 years old, stands at 5’8”, has a 70-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Adams has become a more patient fighter as of late, relying a lot more on his counter and movement. Adams has some good head movement and does a good job of getting in and out. While this style has gotten Adams to this point, he has to do a much better job of letting his hands go if he’s going to give himself an honest shot of pulling off the upset. Adams can be a little passive at times and the lack of big shots landed will be his downfall. This will be Adams’ first career fight in Texas.
Adams could frustrate Charlo with his patient, defensive style, possibly setting up a mistake and opening up the door to an upset. Adams doesn’t seem to force the issue offensively and does a good job of picking his spots. Unfortunately, outside of landing something big, that’s not going to work for 12 rounds against the more talented Charlo. If Adams is going to take the safe approach and not let his hands go, Charlo is going to walk him down and put those clean combinations together that will eventually take its toll. Charlo is the better and more accurate puncher in this bout, and he has game changing power that only needs to land once or twice. Adams is technically sound for the most part, but there’s not enough fireworks in those hands for m to see this going any other way.
I have Charlo by stoppage.