Oleksandr Gvozdyk vs. Doudou Ngumbu Boxing Pick, Odds, and Prediction - 3/30/19
Oleksandr Gvozdyk vs. Doudou Ngumbu
Saturday, March 30, 2019 at 10:00 PM (2300 Arena)
The Line: Ngumbu +3250 / Gvozdyk -6750 -- Over/Under:
TV: ESPN, ESPN Deportes
Oleksandr Gvozdyk and Doudou Ngumbu fight Saturday for the World Boxing Council World Light Heavyweight Title at the 2300 Arena.
Oleksandr Gvozdyk enters this fight with a 16-0 record that includes 13 knockouts. This will be Gvozdyk’s fifth fight since 2017, and he’s coming off a December win over Adonis Stevenson. Gvozdyk completely dominated a respectable opponent in Stevenson, landing constant combinations and using movement to allow him to work from the outside with little risk. While impressive, it will be interesting to see how Gvozdyk approaches things moving forward considering he nearly took Stevenson’s life. While obviously not his fault, Gvozdyk is a human at the end of the day and that is sure to be in the back of his mind forever. Gvozdyk is 31 years old, stands at 6’2”, has a 75.5-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Gvozdyk has clearly shown his last few fights that he’s more than a decorated olympian with increased competition and has put his name in the hat as the best boxer pound for pound. With a nasty right hand, crisp combinations and the understanding of distance to really limit damage, Gvozdyk is one of the more polished boxers in the sport. Gvozdyk has given his past opponents a boxing clinic and it’s tough seeing this run end anytime soon. This will be Gvozdyk’s first career fight in Pennsylvania.
Doudou Ngumbu enters this fight with a 38-8 record that includes 14 knockouts. Ngumbu has won five of his last seven fights, and he’s coming off a May win over Yoann Kongolo. Ngumbu is a respectable boxer from France who is coming off one of his biggest victories of his career and now gets a shot at his signature moment against one of the top names in the sport. Ngumbu is 37 years old, stands at 5’11” and has an orthodox stance. There’s very little film available on Ngumbu, but he is a tough boxer with fast hands and doesn’t mind trading punches. Ngumbu often keeps his hands very low and is looking for the attack and can counter very quickly. Despite some defensive issues and eight losses, Ngumbu has only been finished once in his career, which came against one of the top Frenchmen in Nadjib Mohammedi, so he’s clearly cable of taking a shot. The downside is that Ngumbu has lost nearly every big fight he’s been in (Andrzej Fonfara, Pawel Glazewski and Mohammedi), so it’s hard to see him hanging around against the best fighter he’s faced to date. Ngumbu hasn’t done well when stepping up in competition, and this is easily the biggest step he’s made yet. This will be Ngumbu’s second career fight in the United States.
Ngumbu has a tough chin and explosive hands, two things that give him a chance at the very least to keep this fight competitive. Unfortunately, Ngumbu has also crumbled against fighters who aren’t half the skill of Gvozdyk. He has holes in his defense, doesn’t put his punches together as clean as you’d like, and he’s giving up some size to a fighter who likes to walk down his opponents and bully them from the outside. This is simply a stay busy fight for Gvozdyk to get the title defense out of the way and keep the momentum going. There’s nothing Ngumbu can do with Gvozdyk, and this fight probably doesn’t end pretty. The only thing worth watching is to see how Gvozdyk approaches the fight given what happened against Stevenson and the fact that can change a fighters mindset.
Gvozdyk wins by knockout.