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Richard Commey vs. Ray Beltran Boxing Pick, Odds, and Prediction - 6/28/19

Game
Richard Commey vs. Ray Beltran
Date & Time Friday June 28, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Pechanga Resort & Casino
Temecula, California
The Line
The Line: Beltran +484 / Commey -641 -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Richard Commey and Ray Beltran fight Friday at the Pechanga Resort & Casino for the International Boxing Federation World Lightweight Title.

Richard Commey enters this fight with a 28-2 record that includes 25 knockouts. Commey has won each of his last four fights, and he’s coming off a February win over Isa Chaniev. Commey is coming off an impressive second round knockout where he just bullied his opponent with combinations and produced three knockdowns before the TKO. This will be Commey’s first title defense since the victory and it will be interesting to see how his hand is doing, as he injured it in the bout and that’s why a match with Vasiliy Lomachenko didn’t take place. Commey is 32 years old, stands at 5’9”, has a 71-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Commey is a very aggressive fighter with power in both hands and it’s led to eight of his last nine victories being stoppages. Commey even dropped Robert Easter Jr in their highly competitive fight that could have gone either way, so the power is no joke. Once Commey gets comfortable, he’s letting his hands go, and he’s often relentless. In a split decision against Denis Shafikov, Commey threw over 1,200 punches, more than 500 than his opponent. The only issue with Commey is that he can be a bit wild at times and those wide punches can leave him open on the defensive end. This will be Commey’s first career fight in Temecula.

Ray Beltran enters this fight with a 36-8-1 record that includes 22 knockouts. Beltran has won six of his last seven fights, and he’s coming off a February win over Hiroki Okada. Beltran is coming off an impressive nine round knockout where he landed a beautiful right hook and put his opponent away a few moments later. With some positive recent results, Beltran hopes he can shake the reputation of coming up small in his biggest fights. Beltran is a 37-year-old who stands at 5’8”, has a 67-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Beltran may be getting up there in age, but he’s a tough Mexican fighter who likes to box on the inside and wear down his opponent. Beltran is a solid counterpuncher and can put together underrated combinations that have the potential to hurt. Beltran isn’t the hardest puncher in the world, but five of his last seven wins have been finishes, so he can’t be slept on in the power department. Beltran is going to keep coming forward and is a fighter who seems to get stronger the longer a bout goes. This will be Beltran’s seventh career fight in California.

Beltran is going to have his chances to land against Commey due to the champ being a bit wild at times. Commey and his wide shots will allow Beltran the opening to land something strong. With that said, Commey is an athletic rangy fighter who will make Beltran uncomfortable with his movement and slickness. We saw that with Beltran against Terence Crawford, as he just could never sink his teeth into that fight. Beltran wants a fight on the inside with not a ton of movement. Beltran was also knocked down by Jose Pedraza and Jonathan Maicelo, and that’s concerning given that Commey has more pop in his hands than those two guys. Beltran is a good guy and a very underrated boxer, but this feels like a step out of his class at this point in his career.

Commey wins by either unanimous decision or TKO.

Pick:
Richard Commey -641

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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