Terence Crawford vs. Amir Khan
|Date & Time||Saturday April 20, 2019, 11:00 PM (EDT)|
Madison Square Garden
New York City, New York
The Line: Crawford -1600 / Khan +800 -- Over/Under:
Terence Crawford and Amir Khan fight Saturday at Madison Square Garden for the WBO welterweight title.
Terence Crawford enters this fight with a 34-0 record that includes 25 knockouts. This will be Crawford’s fifth fight since 2017, and he’s coming off an October win over Jose Benavidez Jr. Crawford is coming off a fight in which he lands 32 percent of his punches and put together a combination that produced another late knockout. Five of Crawford’s last seven finishes have taken place in the eighth round or earlier. Crawford now hopes to defend his belt for a second straight bout and keep his name in the best pound-for-pound conversations. Crawford is 31 years old, stands at 5’8”, has a 70-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Crawford is one of the best technical fighters in the sport, as he’s polished defensively with great head and shoulder movement, and he allows very few rounds for his opponent to get comfortable. Combine Crawford’s defense with his ability to fight out of either stance, he’s very tough to figure out over the course of 12 rounds. Crawford has allowed a combined 150 punches to land in his last two fights. Offensively, Crawford is a terrific counterpuncher and has a very strong right hand. This will be Crawford’s third career fight in New York.
Amir Khan enters this fight with a 33-4 record that includes 20 knockouts. Khan has won seven of his last eight fights and is coming off a September win over Samuel Vargas. Khan looked sharp in his last two fights, which includes landing 35 percent of his punches in his last bout. Khan will now fight with a belt on the line for the first time since his 2016 fight against Canelo Alvarez. Khan is 32 years old, stands at 5’8”, has a 71-inch reach and an orthodox stance. Khan is most known for his hand speed and high work rate, as he pressures his opponent with combinations and usually controls the pace of the fight. Khan doesn’t have game changing power in his hands, but his aggressiveness allows him to win on the scorecards and often win comfortably if his opponent doesn’t match his energy. The two downfalls in Khan remain his questionable chin and shaky defense. Khan has been knocked out three times in four career losses and his aggressive, sometimes wild style results in careless openings for his opponent to counter. This will be Khan’s third career fight in New York.
This is a dangerous fight for Khan when you consider how aggressive he usually is and he’s fighting somebody who thrives off the counterpunch. Crawford is really smart defensively, rarely allows his opponent to dictate the pace and will make Khan pay badly if he comes in like a mad man and thinks he can bully Bud like he has past opponents. Khan has to be a little more patient in this fight and do a better job of picking his spots. With that said, there’s a lot favoring Crawford in this fight and he should win. However, there’s no value in picking him to win outright and you could make a case for this fight ending in a decision. Crawford isn’t a quick finisher and has come close to a lot of decisions lately. Khan switches his gameplan up if he’s smart, and even a decision loss should be looked at as a victory given the way past big bouts have gone.
I like the value of the plus money with Crawford winning in a decision.