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Ottawa Redblacks vs. Toronto Argonauts CFL Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/7/19

Game
Toronto Argonauts at Ottawa Redblacks
Date & Time Saturday September 7, 2019, 1:00 PM (EDT)
Location
TD Place Stadium
Ottawa, Ontario
The Line
The Line: Ottawa Redblacks -5 -- Over/Under: 51.5
TV Channel
TSN, RDS2
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Bruce Fedyck-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Argonauts and Ottawa Redblacks meet Saturday in CFL action at TD Place Stadium.

The Toronto Argonauts need a win here to rebound from a rough 1-9 season. The Toronto Argonauts have lost all five road games this season. McLeod Bethel-Thompson is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 2,593 yards, 16 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Bethel-Thompson has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Derel Walker and SJ Green have combined for 1,333 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Armanti Edwards has 34 receptions. The Toronto Argonauts ground game is averaging 72.1 yards per contest, and Brandon Burks leads the way with 204 yards and on 34 carries. Defensively, Toronto is allowing 34.8 points and 457.2 yards per game. Micah Awe leads the Toronto Argonauts with 45 tackles, Cleyon Laing has five sacks and Alden Darby has two interceptions.

The Ottawa Redblacks also need a win after losing seven of their last eight games. The Ottawa Redblacks have lost four straight home games. Dominique Davis is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 1,846 yards, five touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Davis has five interceptions and one touchdown pass in his last three games. Dominique Rhymes and Brad Sinopoli have combined for 1,019 receiving yards and five touchdowns while RJ Harris has 26 receptions. The Ottawa Redblacks ground game is averaging 87.3 yards per contest, and John Crockett leads the way with 403 yards and on 74 carries. Defensively, Ottawa is allowing 28.6 points and 419.9 yards per game. Avery Williams leads the Ottawa Redblacks with 67 tackles, Avery Ellis has four sacks and Anthony Cioffi has two interceptions.

The Argonauts are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 road games, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall. The RedBlacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. East, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Ottawa and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. The over is 9-2 in RedBlacks last 11 games following a bye week. The over is 9-4 in Argonauts last 13 vs. East.

I'm not trying to back either of these teams that have a combined four wins and both have losing records ATS as well. Instead, the over seems like the play here. The total is 51.5, but the Argonauts and Redblacks average 37.1 points combined on the season. The under is also 6-1 in the last seven meetings between Toronto and Ottawa. Instead of backing one of the worst teams in the league with a not so great line, the under feels like a much safer option based on the numbers and trends. 

Pick:
Under 51.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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