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Toronto Argonauts vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats CFL Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/22/19

Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Toronto Argonauts
Date & Time Saturday June 22, 2019, 4:00 PM (EDT)
BMO Field
Toronto, Ontario
The Line
The Line: Toronto Argonauts +2.5 -- Over/Under: 52
TV Channel
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The Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Toronto Argonauts meet Saturday in CFL action at BMO Field.

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats look for a quick 2-0 start after beating the Saskatchewan Roughriders in their season opener. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats have split their last six road games. Jeremiah Masoli is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 169 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. Masoli has at least one touchdown pass in 13 of his last 15 games. Brandon Banks and Sean Thomas Erlington have combined for 112 receiving yards and one touchdown while Luke Tasker has four receptions. The Hamilton Tiger-Cats ground game is averaging 63 yards per contest, and Thomas Erlington leads the way with 68 yards on 11 carries. Defensively, Hamilton is allowing 17 points and 366 yards per game. Ja'Gared Davis leads the Tiger-Cats with seven tackles, Dylan Wynn has one sack and Mike Daly has one interception.

The Toronto Argonauts had an extra week to prepare for this game and can only go up after a 4-14 record that included finishing last season with losses in nine of their last 10 tries. Corey Chamblin returns to Toronto after a year in Arkansas, and he’s a head coach for the first time since getting fired in 2015 by the Saskatchewan Roughriders. The key for Toronto will be finding a quarterback, as McLeod Bethel-Thompson and James Franklin are back for another year but both struggled with turnovers. The Argonauts return their top-six receivers from last season and their leading rusher, so the offense has oodles of potential if one of those two quarterbacks can takeover the offense. Defensively, the Argonauts have a lot of improving to do, as they got torched in the passing game and allowed 24 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games. This will look like a different defensive unit with only four of its top-eight tacklers from last year returning. The Toronto Argonauts have split their last six home games.

The Tiger-Cats are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 Saturday games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in June and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. East. The Argonauts are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. East and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Tiger-Cats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Toronto and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 meetings. The over is 5-2 in Argonauts last 7 home games. The over is 9-3 in Tiger-Cats last 12 games overall.

This line is a little confusing, as I'm not ready to jump on the Tiger-Cats bandwagon after one game, and I'm certainly not sure about making them favorites against a Toronto team that's had all offseason to put together a game plan for this very game. Yes, the Toronto Argonauts are awful last season, but they have more than enough offensive weapons to be improved and a new voice at head coach could go a long way. The Argonauts are also usually a tough team at home and were on the wrong side of some close losses a year ago. I'll take the free points in a game Toronto could win outright. 

Toronto Argonauts +2.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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