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Air Force vs. Nevada - 3/5/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Nevada at Air Force
Date & Time Tuesday March 5, 2019, 11:00 PM (EST)
Location
Clune Arena
Colorado Springs, CO
The Line
Nevada Wolf Pack -13.5 -- O/U: 143.5
TV Channel
ESPN2
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The Nevada Wolf Pack and the Air Force Falcons meet in Mountain West college basketball action from the Clune Arena on Tuesday night.

The Nevada Wolf Pack will look to rebound after an 81-76 loss to Utah State last time out. Caleb Martin led the Wolf Pack with 23 points along with 9 rebounds and a pair of steals while Tre’Shawn Thurman came right behind with 21 points on 8 of 11 shooting with 10 rebounds, 3 steals and a pair of blocks. Cody Martin added 16 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Nevada in the losing effort. Jordan Caroline chipped in 7 points to match his 7 rebounds as well in the loss. Caleb Martin leads Nevada in scoring with 19.6 points per game while Jordan Caroline leads the Wolf Pack in rebounding with 9.6 boards per game and Cody Martin leads Nevada in assists with 5.2 assists per game this season. As a team, Nevada is averaging 81.3 points per game on 46.4% shooting from the field, 34.7% from behind the arc and 72% from the foul line this season.

The Air Force Falcons will look to add to their current 3-game winning streak after an 80-72 win over Wyoming last time out. Ryan Swan led the Falcons with 37 points on 13 of 17 shooting with 4 threes and 9 rebounds while Lavelle Scottie added 18 points and a team-high 10 rebounds as the only other double-digit scorer for Air Force in the winning effort. Caleb Morris chipped in 9 points with 6 rebounds and 3 assists while A.J. Walker had 5 points with a team-high 4 assists. Scottie leads Air Force in scoring with 15.9 points per game while Swan leads the Falcons in rebounding with 7.5 rebounds per game and Sid Tomes leads Air Force in assists with 2.3 helpers per game this season. As a team, Air Force is averaging 68.2 points per game on 45.3% shooting from the field, 32.7% from behind the arc and 67.6% from the foul line this season.

Nevada is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. Air Force is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Nevada is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams at Air Force.

I’m a bit concerned laying this many points with Nevada on the road given that the Wolf Pack, and I didn’t think I’d have to say this, have been shaky as of late and have serious issues covering the number as of late. However, Air Force hasn’t been playing well enough at home to say that home court is an advantage, and I worry that the Falcons won’t have the scoring depth to keep up with all of the weapons that the Wolf Pack possess here. Nevada has had a lot of success ATS in this matchup, so I’ll lay the points with the Wolf Pack as I see Nevada bouncing back in a big way here.

Pick:
Nevada -13.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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