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Arkansas-Little Rock vs. UT-Arlington - 2/14/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
UT-Arlington at Arkansas-Little Rock
Date & Time Thursday February 14, 2019, 7:30 PM (EST)
Location
Jack Stephens Center
Little Rock, AR
The Line
Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans -1 -- Over/Under: 141.5
TV Channel
ESPN+
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James Snook-USA TODAY Sports

The UT-Arlington Mavericks and the Little Rock Trojans meet in Sun Belt college basketball action from the Jack Stephens Center on Thursday night.

The UT-Arlington Mavericks come into this one looking to extend their current 3-game winning streak after a 78-68 win over Appalachian State in their last outing. Brian Warren led the Mavericks with 22 points on 9 of 18 shooting with 3 threes and a team-high 9 assists while Edric Dennis added 14 points with 6 assists. Andres Ibarguen and Tiandre Jackson-Young each had 10 points to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for UT-Arlington in the win with Ibarguen adding a team-high 9 rebounds while Jackson-Young added a pair of threes. Dennis leads UT-Arlington in scoring with 15.1 points per game while Warren leads the Mavericks in assists with 3.6 assists per game and Radshad Davis leads UT-Arlington on the glass with 5.7 rebounds per game this season. As a team, UT-Arlington is averaging 68 points per game on 39.9% shooting from the field, 28.2% from behind the arc and 74% from the foul line this season.

The Little Rock Trojans will look to build on back-to-back wins after a 73-68 win over South Alabama in their last outing. Rayjon Tucker led the Trojans with 24 points along with a 10 of 15 mark from the foul line and a team-high 9 rebounds while Kamani Johnson added 15 points with a 9 of 13 mark from the charity stripe along with 6 rebounds and a pair of blocks. Nikola Maric and Markquis Nowell each had 10 points and 7 rebounds to finish off the group of double-digit scorers for Little Rock in the win. Tucker leads Little Rock with an average of 20.5 points and 6.7 rebounds per game while Nowell leads the Trojans in assists with 4.5 assists per game this season. As a team, Little Rock is averaging 77.1 points per game on 49.3% shooting from the field, 36.5% from behind the 3-point line and 65.6% from the foul line this season.

UT-Arlington is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games, 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 conference games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a losing record. Little Rock is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games while the under is 7-3 in their last 10 Thursday games. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

Given the home team’s success in this matchup, I can understand Little Rock being favored here with such a tight line. However, I feel that the low line is a gift as UT-Arlington has been a covering machine on the road, in conference and pretty much overall for most of this season and dating back to last year. Sometimes, the trends just pull you in one direction, so while I wish I could get a couple more points, I feel comfortable taking the free point with UT-Arlington here.

Pick:
UT-Arlington +1

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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