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Arkansas State vs. Missouri State - 12/18/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Missouri State Bears (4-6) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (4-6)
Date & Time Tuesday December 18, 2018, 8:00 PM (EST)
The Line
The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves +2 -- Over/Under: 154.5
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Peter G. Aiken-USA TODAY Sports

The Missouri State Bears and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet in college basketball action from the Arkansas State Convocation Center on Tuesday night.

The Missouri State Bears come into this game in dire need of a win after losing 6 of their last 7 games following a 74-67 loss to North Dakota State in their last outing. Jarred Dixon led the Bears with 13 points on 6 of 13 shooting while Tulio Da Silva added 11 points and a share of the team-high with 6 rebounds. Keandre Cook, Jared Ridder and Josh Webster each had 10 points to round out the double-digit scoring for the Bears in the losing effort. Cook added 6 rebounds while Ridder and Webster each shot 4 for 12 with Webster adding a team-high 5 assists and 3 steals. Obediah Church added 6 points and a team-high 4 steals as well in the winning effort. Dixon leads Missouri State in scoring with an average of 16.3 points per game while Cook leads the Bears on the glass with 5.6 rebounds per game and Webster leads Missouri State in assists with an average of 4.9 assists per game this season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 74.6 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field, 32.9% from behind the 3-point line and 69.1% from the foul line this season.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this game looking to build on a 75-71 overtime win over FAU in their last outing. Ty Cockfield led the Red Wolves with 34 points on 9 of 20 shooting with a 14 of 15 mark from the foul line while Marquis Eaton added 15 points and 9 rebounds as the only other Arkansas State player to score in double figures in the win. Malik Brevard added a team-high 12 rebounds while Tristin Walley added 10 rebounds as well in the victory. Cockfield leads Arkansas State with an average of 22.6 points and 2.9 assists per game while Brevard leads the Red Wolves with 6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Arkansas State is scoring 74.9 points per game on 40.4% shooting from the field, 33.9% from behind the arc and 72.4% from the foul line this season.

Missouri State is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games while the the over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games following a loss. Arkansas State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the MVC while the over is 10-3 in their last 13 home games. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

I’m a bit shocked to see Missouri State as a favorite here. There’s nothing in the injury report, and the Bears haven’t been good away from home this season, going 0-4 both SU and ATS. Granted there were some tough opponents in there, but the Bears have been terrible on the road dating back to last season and the Red Wolves are better at home than on the road. The win over FAU was proof of that as it’s not often that you win a game shooting as poorly as Arkansas State did in the second half and still was able to ride home court to a victory. These teams are pretty much even, but I simply think the wrong team is favored, so I’ll take the free bucket with Arkansas State in this one.

Pick:
Arkansas State +2

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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