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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State - 2/16/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Mississippi State at Arkansas
Date & Time Saturday February 16, 2019, 8:30 PM (EST)
Location
Bud Walton Arena
Fayetteville, Arkansas
The Line
The Line: Arkansas +1 -- Over/Under: 150.5
TV Channel
SEC
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Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Arkansas Razorbacks meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Bud Walton Arena.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs need a win after splitting their last 12 games. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 78.6 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 70.9 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Quinndary Weatherspoon is averaging 18 points and 2.7 assists while Lamar Peters is averaging 12.8 points and 1.8 rebounds. Aric Holman is the third double-digit scorer and Nick Weatherspoon is dishing 2.3 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 72.8 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game. The Mississippi State Bulldogs have split their last six road games.

The Arkansas Razorbacks also need a win after splitting their last eight games. The Arkansas Razorbacks are averaging 77.3 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 73 points on 41.5 percent shooting. Daniel Gafford is averaging 16.9 points and 8.7 rebounds while Isaiah Joe is averaging 14.2 points and 1.6 assists. Mason Jones is the third double-digit scorer and Jalen Harris is dishing 5.6 assists. The Arkansas Razorbacks are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 66 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas Razorbacks are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.2 rebounds per game. The Arkansas Razorbacks have won their last three home games.

The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. The Razorbacks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Southeastern and 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Arkansas and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The under is 13-4 in Razorbacks last 17 overall. The under is 19-7 in Razorbacks last 26 home games.

I was really high on the Mississippi State Bulldogs and even pegged them as a possible Final Four team, but they just show flashes of that potential and are hard to trust in spots like this. The Arkansas Razorbacks have snagged some decent wins as of late and return home where they're winning by an average of 8.4 points and allowing just 40.1 percent shooting. Arkansas has to have a considerable edge in this game due to its defensive pressure, and it certainly doesn't hurt that the Razorbacks are at home. In a near toss-up, I'll side with Arkansas.

Pick:
Arkansas +1

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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