Auburn vs. Kentucky - 3/31/19 NCAA Tournament College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Auburn vs. Kentucky
Saturday, March 30, 2019 at 1:20 PM (Sprint Center)
The Line: Kentucky -4.5 -- Over/Under: 142
The Auburn Tigers and Kentucky Wildcats meet Sunday in the Elite Eight of the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the Sprint Center.
The Auburn Tigers will advance to the first Final Four in school history with a victory here. The Auburn Tigers are averaging 79.6 points on 45.2 percent shooting and allowing 69.3 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Bryce Brown is averaging 15.8 points and 2.1 rebounds while Jared Harper is averaging 15.2 points and 5.9 assists. Chuma Okeke is the third double-digit scorer and Austin Wiley is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The Auburn Tigers are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 71 percent from the free throw line. The Auburn Tigers are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.5 rebounds per game. The Auburn Tigers have won each of their last nine non-home games.
The Kentucky Wildcats can make their fifth Final Four appearance since 2011 with a victory here. The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 76 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 64.4 points on 40 percent shooting. PJ Washington is averaging 14.8 points and 7.4 rebounds while Tyler Herro is averaging 14.2 points and 4.5 rebounds. Keldon Johnson is the third double-digit scorer and Reid Travis is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game. The Kentucky Wildcats have won 11 of their last 13 non-home games.
The Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Southeastern and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Wildcats are 35-16-4 ATS in their last 55 neutral site games, 6-1-2 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings. The under is 19-7 in Wildcats last 26 overall. The over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 overall.
The Kentucky Wildcats are a completely different team with PJ Washington on the floor, and they smoked Auburn about a month ago, winning by 27 points as an eight-point favorite. There also has to be some concern with the loss of Chuma Okeke, who was the best player Friday night in the win over UNC, and he's Auburn's third leading scorer. With that said, the Auburn Tigers are shooting the ball well enough to where it's impossible to turn down free points. In its last five games, Auburn is shooting 47.7 percent from the field, 41.9 percent from three and winning by an average of 11 points. Yes, Kentucky has done a great job of limiting the three ball and is allowing just 37.2 percent shooting overall in its last five games. There's still a certain level of confidence with Auburn right now and that's hard to break with an explosive offensive bunch. I have to take the points.