Auburn vs. North Carolina - 3/29/19 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Auburn at North Carolina
Friday, March 29, 2019 at 6:29 PM (Sprint Center)
North Carolina Tar Heels -5 -- O/U: 164.5
The Auburn Tigers and the North Carolina Tar Heels meet in an NCAA tournament sweet 16 matchup in college basketball action from the Sprint Center on Friday night.
The Auburn Tigers booked their spot in the sweet 16 after an 89-75 win over Kansas in their last outing. Bryce Brown led the Tigers with 25 points on 9 of 13 shooting with 7 threes while Jared Harper came 2nd with 18 points along with a team-high 6 assists. Chuma Okeke chipped in 12 points along with 5 boards, 4 assists and a team-high 4 steals while Anfernee McLemore added 11 points of his own to round out the scoring in double figures for Auburn in the win. Brown leads Auburn in scoring with an average of 15.9 points per game while Okeke leads the Tigers in rebounding with 6.7 rebounds per game and Harper leads the Tigers in assists with 5.7 assists per game this season. As a team, Auburn is averaging 79.8 points per game on 45% shooting from the field, 37.8% from behind the arc and 71.3% from the foul line this season.
The North Carolina Tar Heels made their way back to the sweet 16 after an 81-59 pummelling of Washington in their last outing. Luke Maye and Nassir Little tied for the team-high with 20 points, with Little shooting 8 of 11 along with 7 rebounds while Maye added a game-high 14 rebounds for the double-double. Coby White added 17 points on 6 of 11 shooting with 4 threes, while Cameron Johnson had 13 points on 5 of 10 shooting with 3 triples and a team-high 7 assists. Johnson leads UNC in scoring with 16.9 points per game while White leads the Tar Heels in assists with 4.1 assists per game and Maye leads North Carolina in rebounding by averaging a double-double per game with 14.9 points to go along with his team-leading 10.5 rebounds per game this season. As a team, North Carolina is averaging the 3rd-most points per game in D-I, scoring 86 points per game on 46.5% shooting from the field, 36.5% from behind the arc and 74.2% from the foul line this season.
Auburn is 6-2 in ATS in their last 8 games overall and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games against the ACC. North Carolina is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 games against the SEC while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 non-conference games.
I’ve gone back and forth on this game as Auburn can really shoot the rock, but with how North Carolina gets after it on both ends, I wonder if that’ll keep the Tigers in this game. Both of these teams possess high-scoring offensive units, but both can also play solid defense, which is why I’m going to side with the under. This is a really high total that would need to see both teams get into the 80s or on in the high 70s at least for it to hit. North Carolina has held 7 straight opponents to less than 80 points, while Auburn has held their last 6 opponents to less than 80. I’m not saying this won’t be an exciting game, but I can see this one finishing in the 70s on both sides, so I’ll take the under.