Iowa State at Baylor
|Date & Time||Thursday March 14, 2019, 12:30 PM (EDT)|
Kansas City, MO
Baylor Bears +3 -- Over/Under: 144
The Iowa State Cyclones and Baylor Bears will square off at the Sprint Center this Thursday afternoon in the Quarterfinals of the Big 12 Men’s Championship.
The Iowa State Cyclones finished their regular season with an overall record of 20-11 and come into the Big 12 Championship as the 5-seed after finishing conference play with an 9-9 record. Iowa State had a great start to their season and picked up solid wins against Kansas & Texas Tech during conference play, however, the Cyclones do come into post-season play struggling a bit as the Iowa State has lost 6 of their last 8 games. Iowa State was solid on both ends of the court this season and come into this match-up ranked 59th in scoring offense, 31st in FG%, and 110th in scoring defense.
On the season, Iowa State is averaging 77.7 ppg on 47.7% shooting from the field. The Cyclones are averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 36.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Iowa State has been led by Marial Shayok (18.7 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.0 apg), Lindell Wigginton (13.4 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 2.2 apg), Talen Horton-Tucker (12.2 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.3 spg), and Nick Babb (9.2 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 4.0 apg, 1.3 spg).
Defensively, Iowa State is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 ppg on 42.2% shooting from the field. The Cyclones have a rebound margin of 0.5 and a turnover margin of 2.1.
The Baylor Bears suffered a huge blow after losing Tristan Clark halfway through the season, however, the Bears still had an outstanding season as they finished the year with an overall record of 19-12 and earned the 4-seed for the Big 12 Championship with a conference record of 10-8. Baylor picked up a huge win this season against Texas Tech and has an impressive 6-game winning streak in Big 12 play, however, the Bears struggled down the stretch as they’ve lost their last three games including a shocking 67-64 loss at home to Oklahoma State. Baylor has been led their defense season and come into this match-up ranked 56th in scoring defense, 73rd in defensive FG%, and 17th in rebound margin.
On the season, Baylor is averaging 71.8 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Bears are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 33.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Baylor has been led by Makai Mason (14.6 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 3.2 apg), Mario Kegler (10.4 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.2 apg), Jared Butler (10.3 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.0 spg), and King McClure (8.9 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.2 spg).
Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 66.7 ppg on 41.9% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 6.4 and a turnover margin of -0.7.
Baylor was able to defeat Iowa State in both of their regular season match-ups this season as the Bears won by a 73-70 margin at home in early January while winning by a 73-69 on the road in mid-February.
The Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games, however, are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Bears are 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and just 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
On paper, Iowa State is the more talented in this one as they have an explosive offense and a defense that is statistic solid. That being said, it’s hard not to root for this Baylor team that have over achieved this season without Tristan Clark and have a defense that can slow down anyone in College Basketball. Iowa State’s defense has really struggled as of late, as they’ve allowed 80+ points in each of their last three games, and as I think Baylor’s defense will be able to keep this one close, the play here is to take Baylor and the points. Good Luck!