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Baylor vs. TCU - 2/2/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
TCU at Baylor
Date & Time Saturday February 2, 2019, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Ferrell Center
Waco, TX
The Line
Baylor Bears -3.5 -- Over/Under: 139
TV Channel
ESPN U
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Rob Ferguson-USA TODAY Sports

The TCU Horned Frogs will travel to the Ferrell Center to take on the Baylor Bears this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The TCU Horned Frogs had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 15-5 (3-4 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the 16th ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders, 84-65, this past Monday night. TCU was overmatched on both ends of the court and couldn’t fight back after the Horned Frogs went into halftime trailing by  a 43-27 margin. TCU allowed Texas Tech to shoot 54.2% from the field and 42.9% from beyond the arc in the  loss. Leading the way for the Horned Frogs was Kevin Samuel who had a double-double with 10 points, 12 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, and a steal.

On the season, TCU is averaging 76.4 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs are averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 34.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, TCU has been led by Desmond Bane (14.9 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.0 spg), Kouat Noi (14.9 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.2 spg), Alex Robinson (12.6 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 7.4 apg, 1.7 spg), and JD Miller (10.4 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.0 apg).

Defensively, TCU is holding their opponents to an average of 66.9 ppg on 41.2% shooting from the field. The Horned Frogs have a rebound margin of 4.4 and a turnover margin of 0.4.

The Baylor Bears won their 5th straight game and improved to 14-6 (5-2 Big 12) on the season after defeating the Oklahoma Sooners, 77-47, this past Monday. In what was the Bears most impressive win of the season, Baylor dominated Oklahoma on both ends of the court throughout the game and had no trouble picking up the win after taking a 46-26 lead early in the 2nd half. Baylor shot 54.4% from the field & 50.0% from beyond the arc while holding the Sooners to just 27.3% shooting from the field. Leading the way for the Bears was Jared Butler who had 10 points, 4 rebounds, 5 assists, and 2 steals.

On the season, Baylor is averaging 72.5 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Bears are averaging 7.5 three-pointers per game on 32.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Baylor has been led by Makai Mason (15.3 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 3.0 apg), Tristan Clark (14.3 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.0 spg, 2.3 bpg), King McClure (10.4 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.5 spg), and Mario Kegler (9.4 ppg, 6.0 rpg).

Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 63.6 ppg on 40.9% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 6.5 and a turnover margin of 0.6.

The Horned Frogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Bears are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

TCU has lost 4 of their last 7 games, however, the Horned Frogs have been solid on both ends of the court this season as they currently rank 106th in scoring offense, 60th in FG%, and T-69th in scoring defense. Baylor has won 6 of their last 7 games and has been led by their defense which currently ranks 22nd in scoring defense, 56th in defensive FG%, and 23rd in rebound margin.

TCU has a solid team however, the Horned Frogs haven’t had much success on the road this season as they come into this game with a 1-4 road record. Baylor has been one of the more surprising teams in the Big 12 so far this season and as I think their defense is going to give TCU a bunch of trouble in this one, I think the Bears will keep their winning streak alive and do enough to cover this small home spread. Good Luck!

Pick:
Baylor Bears -3.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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