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Baylor vs. Texas - 2/27/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Texas at Baylor
Date & Time Wednesday February 27, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Ferrell Center
Waco, TX
The Line
Baylor Bears -4.5 -- Over/Under: 134
TV Channel
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Ray Carlin-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Longhorns will travel to the Ferrell Center to take on the Baylor Bears this Wednesday night in College Basketball action.

The Texas Longhorns dropped to 15-12 (7-7 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the Oklahoma Sooners, 69-67 this past Saturday. Texas fought back from a 17-point 2nd half deficit to make it a game late, however, the Longhorns couldn’t force OT after a Matt Coleman III game-tying jumper was blocked as time expired. Texas shot just 41.0% from the field and 32.3% from beyond the arc the loss. Leading the way for the Longhorns was Jase Febres who had 15 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, and a steal.

On the season, Texas is averaging 71.5 ppg on 43.7% shooting from the field. The Longhorns are averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 33.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Texas has been led by Kerwin Roach II (15.0 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.3 spg), Jaxson Hayes (10.4 ppg, 5.3 rpg, 2.4 bpg), Dylan Osetkowski (10.2 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.3 spg), and Matt Coleman III (10.1 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 3.6 apg). Texas will be with Kerwin Roach II who has been suspended indefinitely due to a violation of team rules.

Defensively, Texas is holding their opponents to an average of 66.2 ppg on 42.3% shooting from the field. The Longhorns have a rebound margin of 0.5 and a turnover margin of 1.8.

The Baylor Bears won their 2nd straight game and improved to 18-9 (9-5 Big 12) on the season after defeating the West Virginia Mountaineers, 82-75, this past Saturday. Baylor had all they could handle from the Mountaineers in this one, however, Baylor was able to take a 71-70 lead on a Mario Kegler three-pointer with 2:23 left in regulation and hold off West Virginia with solid FT-shooting down the stretch. Baylor shot 45.3% from the field and 38.1% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bears was Mario Kegler who had a double-double with 23 points, 10 rebounds, and 3 assists.

On the season, Baylor is averaging 72.2 ppg on 44.7% shooting from the field. The Bears are averaging 7.9 three-pointers per game on 34.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Baylor has been led by Makai Mason (15.0 ppg, 2.4 rpg, 3.1 apg), Mario Kegler (10.0 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 1.2 apg), King McClure (9.9 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.4 spg), and Jared Butler (9.4 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.0 spg).

Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 65.7 ppg on 41.5% shooting from the field. The Bears have a rebound margin of 6.3 and a turnover margin of -0.4.

The Longhorns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Bears are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 Wednesday games.

Texas has split their last 10 games and although the offense ranks just 217th in scoring offense and 223rd in FG%, the Longhorns defense has been solid as it currently ranks T-52nd in scoring defense.

Baylor has won 9 of their last 12 games and currently rank 193rd in scoring offense, 44th in scoring defense, and 62nd in defensive FG%.

Baylor has split their last 3 games, however, they were missing Makai Mason & King McClure for a few of those games and although McClure is questionable for this match-up, the Bears have won their last two games with Mason back in the lineup. Texas is a solid team, however, with their leading scoring in Kerwin Roach II suspended, the Longhorns offense is going to struggle to score points. Texas was able to get a backdoor cover agianst Oklahoma last weekend, however, as I think the Bears defense is going to be able to dominate in this game, I think Baylor will be able to do enough at home to cover this spread. Good Luck!

Baylor Bears -4.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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