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Boise State vs. Air Force - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Air Force at Boise State
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)
Location
Taco Bell Arena
Boise, ID
The Line
Boise State Broncos -9 -- O/U: 138
TV Channel
ATTSN
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Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Air Force Falcons and the Boise State Broncos meet in Mountain West college basketball action from the Taco Bell Arena on Saturday night.

The Air Force Falcons will look to rebound after a 90-79 loss to Nevada in their last outing. Ryan Swan led the Falcons with 21 points on 8 of 13 shooting including a perfect 4 for 4 from behind the arc with 3 blocks while A.J. Walker added 18 points with 3 threes and a team-high 4 assists. Lavelle Scottie added 13 points and 10 rebounds for the double-double while Chris Joyce chipped in 11 points to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Air Force in the losing effort. Scottie leads Air Force in scoring with 15.8 points per game while Swan leads the Falcons in rebounding with 7.4 rebounds per game and Walker leads the Falcons in assists with 2.4 assists per game this season. As a team, Air Force is averaging 68.6 points per game on 45.5% shooting from the field, 33.3% from behind the arc and 67.3% from the foul line this season.

The Boise State Broncos will be out to snap a 6-game losing streak after a 73-72 loss to UNLV in their last outing. Derrick Alston and Justinian Jessup each had 23 points with Alston shooting 8 of 16 with a pair of threes while Jessup went 8 of 13 with 5 triples and team-highs of 6 rebounds and 4 assists. Zach Haney added 11 points to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Boise State in the losing effort. Jessup leads Boise State with an average of 14.3 points and 2.5 rebounds per game while RJ Williams is the Broncos’ leading rebounder with 4.6 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Boise State is averaging 71.6 points per game on 46.7% shooting from the field, 34.9% from behind the 3-point line and 71.6% from the foul line this season.

Air Force is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 conference games. Boise State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games while the under is 7-3 in their last 10 home games against a team with a losing road record. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

I understand Boise State maybe being favored because they’re at home and the fact that Air Force has a tendency lately to play down to lower opposition. However, I’m not sure laying nearly double-digits with a team that’s lost 6 in a row is a good idea. Air Force has shown the ability to hang around with some tough competition lately, and while the same can be said for Boise State, I just don’t see the Broncos having enough to pull off this kind of double-digit victory, so I’ll take a shot with Air Force due to a case of simply giving up too many points.

Pick:
Air Force +9

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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