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Buffalo vs. Bowling Green - 3/16/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Bowling Green at Buffalo
Date & Time Saturday March 16, 2019, 7:30 PM (EDT)
Quicken Loans Arena
Cleveland, OH
The Line
Buffalo Bulls -10 -- Over/Under: 159
TV Channel
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Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

The Bowling Green Falcons and Buffalo Bulls will square off at Quicken Loans Arena this Saturday night in the Finals of the MAC Men’s Tournament.

The 3-seed Bowling Green Falcons will have the opportunity to play for their first NCAA bid since 1968 after defeating the 7-seed Northern Illinois Huskies, 71-67, on Friday night. Bowling Green allowed Northern Illinois to fight back from a 46-23 halftime deficit to tie the game at 56-all with just 5:13 left in regulation, however, the Falcons were able to compose themselves and pulled away after taking a 68-62 lead with :43 seconds left in regulation. Bowling Green shot 43.4% from the field and 42.1% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Falcons was Dylan Frye who had 25 points, 2 rebounds, and 1 assist.

Coming into their game against Northern Illinois, Bowling Green is averaging 78.2 ppg on 44.1% shooting from the field. The Huskies are averaging 8.0 three-pointers per game on 35.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Bowling Green has been led by Justin Turner (18.4 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.4 spg), Dylan Frye (12.7 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.2 spg), Demajeo Wiggins (12.6 ppg, 10.9 rpg), and Antwon Lillard (9.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.4 apg).

Defensively, Bowling Green was allowing their opponents to average 72.8 ppg on 42.0% shooting from the field. The Falcons had a rebound margin of 5.3 and a turnover margin of 0.9.

The 18th ranked Buffalo Bulls will look to make it back-to-back MAC Championships after the top-seed Bulls defeated the Central Michigan Chippewas, 85-81, on Friday night. Buffalo had all they could handle from Central Michigan as they never led by more than a possession in the 2nd half until a pair of CJ Massinburg FT’s with :06 seconds left in regulation gave the Bulls a 4-point lead. Buffalo shot 47.0% from the field and outrebounded Central Michigan by a 47-30 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulls was CJ Massinburg who had 21 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal.

Coming into their game against Central Michigan, Buffalo was averaging 85.0 ppg on 46.3% shooting from the field. The Bulls were averaging 9.6 three-pointers per game on 34.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Buffalo has been led by CJ Massinburg (18.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 3.1 apg, 1.3 spg), Nick Perkins (14.8 ppg, 7.3 rpg), Jeremy Harris (13.5 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.1 spg), and Jayvon Graves (9.7 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.9 apg).

Defensively, Buffalo was allowing their opponents to average 70.9 ppg on 42.2% shooting from the field. The Bulls had a rebound margin of 3.6 and a turnover margin of 3.9.

The Falcons are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall. The Bulls are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, however, are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

Bowling Green has had a great season behind their explosive offense that ranks 48th in scoring offense & 98th in FG% and was one of the few teams that were competitive against the Bulls during their regular season. Buffalo doesn’t have to worry about needing the automatic-bid as the Bulls picked up 30 wins this season behind an offense that ranks 5th in scoring offense & 69th in FG%. Buffalo is the better team here, however, the Bulls looked a bit shaky yesterday against the Chippewas and as I think that Justin Turner and the Falcons offense will be able to keep pace with the Bulls in this one, I’m taking Bowling Green and the points in this one. Good Luck!

Bowling Green Falcons +10

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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