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Buffalo vs. Bowling Green - 3/8/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Bowling Green at Buffalo
Date & Time Friday March 8, 2019, 6:00 PM (EST)
Location
Alumni Arena
Buffalo, NY
The Line
Buffalo Bulls -14.5 -- Over/Under: 161
TV Channel
ESPNU
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Timothy T. Ludwig-USA TODAY Sports

The Bowling Green Falcons will travel to Alumni Arena to take on the 19th ranked Buffalo Bulls this Friday night in College Basketball action.

The Bowling Green Falcons dropped to 20-10 (12-5 MAC) on the season after being defeated by the Akron Zips, 91-67, this past Tuesday. Bowling Green was overmatched by the Zips on both ends of the court and couldn’t fight back after Akron took a 78-63 lead with just 4:33 left in regulation. Bowling Green allowed Akron to shoot 57.8% from the field while the Falcons shot just 32.4% from the field and 27.6% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Falcons was Justin Turner who had 21 points, 3 rebounds, 1 assist, and 2 steals.

On the season, Bowling Green is averaging 78.4 ppg on 44.0% shooting from the field. The Falcons are averaging 8.1 three-pointers per game on 35.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Bowling Green has been led by Justin Turner (18.7 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.4 spg), Dylan Frye (12.6 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.1 spg), Demajeo Wiggins (12.5 ppg, 11.0 rpg), and Antwon Lillard (9.1 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.4 apg).

Defensively, Bowling Green is allowing their opponents to average 72.4 ppg on 41.9% shooting from the field. The Falcons have a rebound margin of 5.5 and a turnover margin of 1.2.

The 19th ranked Buffalo Bulls won their 8th straight game and improved to 27-3 (15-2 MAC) on the season after defeating the Ohio Bobcats, 82-79, this past Tuesday. Buffalo was solid offensively against the Bobcats, and although the Bulls allowed Ohio to fight back after holding a 59-47 lead midway through the 2nd half, the Bulls were able to pull away later after going up by a 79-74 margin with just :37 seconds left in regulation. Buffalo shot 42.4% from the field and 44.1% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulls was Jeremy Harris who had 20 points, 6 rebounds, 4 assists, and a block.

On the season, Buffalo is averaging 85.0 ppg on 46.4% shooting from the field. The Bulls are averaging 9.8 three-pointers per game on 34.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Buffalo has been led by CJ Massinburg (18.7 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.3 spg), Nick Perkins (14.5 ppg, 7.4 rpg), Jeremy Harris (13.2 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.0 spg), and Jayvon Graves (9.8 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.8 apg).

Defensively, Buffalo is allowing their opponents to average 70.8 ppg on 42.1% shooting from the field. The Bulls have a rebound margin of 3.7 and a turnover margin of 3.7.

The Falcons are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, however, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bulls are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games and 33-15-3 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Bowling Green has lost 3 of their last 4 games and currently rank 54th in scoring offense, 204th in scoring defense, and 76th in defensive FG%.

Buffalo has been one of the more impressive teams in College Basketball this season and has been led by their offense that ranks 6th in scoring offense, 72nd in FG%, and 23rd in three-pointers made per game.

Bowling Green was able to upset Buffalo at home in a high scoring 92-88 game, however, the Falcons have struggled as of late and come into this game with just a 5-7 record on the road. Buffalo has the top-seed in the MAC Championship wrapped up, however, these games are still very important for the Bulls as they are still playing for a better seed in the NCAA Tournament. This is a huge number, however, Buffalo is a perfect 13-0 at home this season and as I think their offense will be able to have their way against the Bowling Green defense that just gave up 90+ points to Akron, I’m taking Buffalo to cover. Good Luck!

Pick:
Buffalo Bulls -14.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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