Buffalo vs. Toledo - 1/8/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toledo at Buffalo
Tuesday, January 8, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Alumni Arena)
The Line: Buffalo Bulls -9 -- Over/Under: 154
The Toledo Rockets will travel to Alumni Arena to take on the 19th ranked Buffalo Bulls this Tuesday night in College Basketball action.
The Toledo Rockets had their 10-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 12-2 (0-1 MAC-West) on the season after being defeated by the Ball State Cardinals, 79-64, this past Friday night. Toledo had no answers on the offensive end against the Cardinals and couldn’t fight back after they went into halftime trailing by a 38-26 margin. Toledo allowed Ball State to shoot 48.4% from the field while the Rockets shot just 36.2% from the field & 26.7% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Rockets was Chris Darrington who had 13 points, 3 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal.
On the season, Toledo is averaging 81.5 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Rockets are averaging 10.0 three-pointers per game on 38.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Toledo has been led by Jaelan Sanford (17.4 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 3.1 apg), Nate Navigato (12.8 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.0 apg), Willie Jackson (11.0 ppg, 10.7 rpg, 1.6 apg), and Luke Knapke (10.1 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.1 bpg).
Defensively, Toledo is holding their opponents to an average of 66.2 ppg on 40.6% shooting from the field. The Rockets have a rebound margin of 6.6 and average 4.1 blocks per game.
The 19th ranked Buffalo Bulls won their 2nd straight game and improved to 13-1 (1-0 MAC-East) on the season after defeating the Eastern Michigan Eagles, 74-58, this past Friday. Buffalo dominated Eastern Michigan on both ends of the court and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 54-31 lead with 12:27 left in regulation. Buffalo shot 50.0% from the field while holding the Eagles to just 33.3% from the field & 26.9% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Bulls was Montell McRae who had 18 points & 7 rebounds.
On the season, Buffalo is averaging 83.5 ppg on 46.3% shooting from the field. The Bulls are averaging 9.5 three-pointers per game on 34.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Buffalo has been led by CJ Massinburg (17.8 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.4 spg), Jeremy Harris (13.7 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 2.8 apg), Nick Perkins (13.4 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.4 bpg), and Devonta Jordan (7.3 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.5 spg).
Defensively, Buffalo is allowing their opponents to an average of 69.0 ppg on 40.8% shooting from the field. The Bulls have a rebound margin of 2.7 and a turnover margin of 4.4.
The Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Bulls are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. MAC opponents and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Toledo struggled offensively agianst Ball State, however, the Rockets have been very solid on both ends of the court this season as they rank 43rd in scoring offense, 63rd in scoring defense, & 69th in defensive FG%. Buffalo is the team to beat in the MAC this season and have also been great on both ends of the court as they currently rank 25th in scoring offense, 20th in assists per game, and 74th in defensive FG%.
Toledo has had a solid season to date, however, I do think their numbers and record are a bit misleading as the Rockets haven’t played the toughest schedule with their best wins probably coming against UC Irvine & Penn. Buffalo is 5-0 at home this season and as they were able to defeat Toledo by double-digits in both their games last season, I think the Bulls will do enough at home to cover this spread.