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Cal Poly vs. UC Davis - 2/7/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
UC Davis at Cal Poly
Date & Time Thursday February 7, 2019, 10:00 PM (EST)
Location
Mott Athletics Center
San Luis Obispo, California
The Line
The Line: Cal Poly +3 -- Over/Under: 130
TV Channel
Big West
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The UC Davis Aggies and Cal Poly Mustangs meet Thursday in college basketball action at the Mott Athletics Center.

The UC Davis Aggies need a win here after losing seven of their last 10 games. The UC Davis Aggies are averaging 62.8 points on 41.7 percent shooting and allowing 70.7 points on 47 percent shooting. TJ Shorts II is averaging 14.6 points and 5.1 rebounds while Siler Schneider is averaging 10.4 points and 1.9 assists. Garrison Goode is dishing one assist and Joe Mooney is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The UC Davis Aggies are shooting 31.6 percent from beyond the arc and 70.4 percent from the free throw line. The UC Davis Aggies are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 27.5 rebounds per game. The UC Davis Aggies have lost 10 of their last 11 road games.

The Cal Poly Mustangs could also use a win after losing 10 of their last 12 games. The Cal Poly Mustangs are averaging 64.2 points on 40.8 percent shooting and allowing 72.8 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Donovan Fields is averaging 15.6 points and 4.5 assists while Mark Crowe is averaging 10.6 points and 4.3 rebounds. Marcellus Garrick is the third double-digit scorer and Jakub Niziol is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Cal Poly Mustangs are shooting 32.8 percent from beyond the arc and 61.8 percent from the free throw line. The Cal Poly Mustangs are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.1 rebounds per game. The Cal Poly Mustangs have lost their last three home games.

The Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Mustangs are 16-42 ATS in their last 58 home games, 13-39-1 ATS in their last 53 vs. Big West and 23-54-2 ATS in their last 79 games overall. The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cal Poly SLO and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The over is 20-7 in Mustangs last 27 home games. The over is 5-1 in Aggies last 6 overall.

UC Davis has won eight of the last 10 meetings against Cal Poly, which includes a 12-point victory a few weeks ago. The Cal Poly Mustangs are just 6-12 ATS on the season and 0-5 ATS at home. Cal Poly is losing by an average of 8.8 points in its last five games and 9.4 points at home this season. The UC Davis Aggies have been awful on the road this season, which includes losses in 10 of their last 11 tries and losing by an average of 9.7 points. However, when you factor in the history, it's hard to bet against UC Davis in this contest, especially when Cal Poly rarely gets the better of the number.

Pick:
UC Davis -3

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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