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Cal Poly vs. UC Santa Barbara - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UC Santa Barbara at Cal Poly
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 10:00 PM (EST)
Mott Athletics Center
San Luis Obispo, CA
The Line
Cal Poly Mustangs +8 -- Over/Under: 138.5
TV Channel
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Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos will travel to the Mott Athletics Center to take on the Cal Poly Mustangs this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos improved to 20-9 (9-6 Big West) on the season after defeating the CS Northridge Mandators, 76-74, this past Thursday. UC Santa Barbara allowed CSU Northridge to fight back from a 58-46 deficit to take a late lead, however, the Gauchos were able to pull out the victory after a Max Heidegger three-pointer gave UC Santa Barbara the lead for good with just :04 seconds left in regulation. UC Santa Barbara won despite shooting just 42.2% from the field and 36.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Gauchos was Max Heidegger who had 23 points, 8 rebounds, and 3 assists.

On the season, UC Santa Barbara is averaging 73.4 ppg on 45.4% shooting from the field. The Gauchos are averaging 6.4 three-pointers per game on 34.0% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, UC Santa Barbara has been led by Ar’Mond Davis (13.1 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.4 apg), Max Heidegger (11.8 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 2.9 apg), Amadou Sow (11.7 ppg, 6.6 rpg), and Deveral Ramsey (10.7 ppg, 3.5 rpg, 3.3 apg).

Defensively, UC Santa Barbara is holding their opponents to an average of 65.5 ppg on 42.5% shooting from the field. The Gauchos have a rebound margin of 6.8 and a turnover margin of 0.1.

The Cal Poly Mustangs lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 6-22 (2-13 Big West) on the season after being defeated by the UC Irvine Anteaters, 110-72, this past Thursday. Cal Poly had no answers for the Big West leading Anteaters and couldn’t fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 58-32 margin. Cal Poly allowed UC Irvine to shoot 55.2% from the field and was outrebounded by the Anteaters by a 57-24 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Mustangs was Marcellus Garrick who had 27 points and 2 rebounds.

On the season, Cal Poly is averaging 66.0 ppg on 41.1% shooting from the field. The Mustangs are averaging 7.7 three-pointers per game on 32.6% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Cal Poly has been led by Donovan Fields (16.8 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.4 spg), Marcellus Garrick (11.6 ppg, 2.8 rpg), Mark Crowe (10.0 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.1 spg), and Jakub Niziol (6.3 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 1.1 apg).

Defensively, Cal Poly is allowing their opponents to average 74.7 ppg on 45.8% shooting from the field. The Mustangs have a rebound margin of -4.4 and a turnover margin of -0.8.

The Gauchos are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Saturday games, however, are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Mustangs are 12-30-1 ATS in their last 43 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and just 13-39 ATS in their last 52 home games.

UC Santa Barbara has won 3 of their last 4 games and has been solid on both ends of the court this season as the Gauchos rank 149th in scoring offense, 42nd in scoring defense, and 100th in defensive FG%.

Cal Poly has lost 8 of their last 9 games and come into this match-up ranked just 318th in scoring offense, 320th in FG%, and 261st in scoring defense.

It’s been a tough season for the Cal Poly Mustangs and after seeing their latest effort against the Anteaters, I just can’t find a solid reason to take the Mustangs as they’ve really struggled on both ends of the court. UC Santa Barbara has been playing well over the last two weeks and between the fact that Cal Poly is just 4-7 at home and that I believe the Gauchos defense will give the Mustangs trouble, I’m taking UC Santa Barbara to cover this large road spread. Good Luck!

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -8

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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