Western Michigan at Central Michigan
|Date & Time||Monday March 11, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)|
Mt. Pleasant, MI
Central Michigan Chippewas -10 -- O/U: 154
The Western Michigan Broncos and the Central Michigan Chippewas meet in a MAC tournament first round matchup from the McGuirk Arena on Monday night.
The Western Michigan Broncos come into this game in the basement spot in the MAC, finishing with the #12 seed after an 8-23 overall record, including 2-16 in conference play. The Broncos had some tough opposition in the non-conference portion of their schedule, with losses to Dayton, Michigan, Cincinnati and Ole Miss to name a few. Conference play got off to a brutal start for the Broncos, losing their first 10 conference games before finally getting in the win column. The Broncos picked up another win before losing their last 5 games to finish the season. Seth Dugan led the Broncos in scoring and rebounding with 16.2 points and 9.6 rebounds per game while. Michael Flowers came 2nd with 15.7 points while leading the Broncos in assists with 3.3 assists per game this season. Josh Davis came 3rd with 11.1 points to round out the double-digit scoring for the Broncos this season. As a team, Western Michigan is averaging 70.3 points per game on 42.9% shooting from the field, 31.9% from behind the arc and 69.2% from the foul line this season.
The Central Michigan Chippewas come into the MAC tournament as the #5 seed, finishing with a 21-10 overall record, including a 10-8 conference mark to finish in 2nd in the MAC West division. The Chippewas didn’t have the toughest non-conference schedule, with the biggest name being a 27-point loss to TCU. Consistency was a big issue for the Chippewas, starting conference play 4-4 before a 4-game winning streak guaranteed an above-.500 finish in conference play on the year. Larry Austin Jr. led Central Michigan in scoring and assists with 17 points and 5.8 assists per game. Shawn Roundtree came 2nd in scoring with 16.4 points per game and David DiLeo added 12 points per game while Kevin McKay added 11.4 points as well as leading CMU in rebounding with 7.6 rebounds per game. Robert Montgomery finished the year averaging 11 points per game as the 5th double-digit scorer for Central Michigan. As a team, Central Michigan is averaging 82.5 points per game on 45.3% shooting from the field, 45.3% from the field, 36.8% from behind the 3-point line and 67.2% from the foul line this season.
Western Michigan is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the over is 17-8 in their last 25 games following a loss. Central Michigan is 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. Western Michigan is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
I’d like to give Western Michigan a shot as anything can happen in the conference tournament, but the fact is that Western Michigan struggled mightily in the regular season and got swept by Central Michigan in the regular season, losing by an average of 14 points per game. I just don’t see the Broncos being able to keep up with Central Michigan here, so I’ll lay the points with the Chippewas in this spot.