Cincinnati vs. South Florida - 1/15/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
South Florida at Cincinnati
Tuesday, January 15, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Fifth Third Arena)
Cincinnati Bearcats -13 -- Over/Under: 126
The South Florida Bulls and the Cincinnati Bearcats meet in AAC conference college basketball action from the Fifth Third Arena on Tuesday night.
The South Florida Bulls will look to find some consistency after alternating wins and losses in each of their last 4 games after an 82-80 overtime loss to Temple last time out. Alexis Yetna led the Bulls with 24 points on 10 of 14 shooting with a team-high 9 rebounds while Laquincy Rideau added 18 points with a team-high 10 assists and a jaw-dropping 10 steals for a ridiculous triple-double and David Collins added 16 points with 3 steals to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for USF in the loss. Collins leads South Florida in scoring with 14.6 points per game while Rideau leads the Bulls in assists with 5.8 assists per game and Yetna leads USF in rebounding by averaging a double-double per game with 12.8 points to go along with his team-leading 10.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, South Florida is averaging 74.8 points per game on 44.3% shooting from the field, 33.1% from behind the 3-point line and 60.9% from the foul line this season.
The Cincinnati Bearcats will look to build on back-to-back overtime wins after improving to 14-3 with a 74-72 win over UConn in their last outing. Jarron Cumberland led the Bearcats with 22 points including an 11 of 12 mark from the foul line along with team-highs of 6 rebounds and 7 assists while Nysier Brooks added 17 points on 6 of 8 shooting with 6 rebounds of his own. Justin Jenifer added 13 points with 3 threes and Keith Williams chipped in 12 points in shooting 5 of 7 from the field to round out the scoring in double figures for the Bearcats in the victory. Cumberland leads Cincinnati in scoring with 16.9 points per game while Jenifer leads the Bearcats in assists with 3.9 assists per game and Tre Scott leads Cincinnati in rebounding with 6.1 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Cincinnati is averaging 74.7 points per game on 46.2% shooting from the field, 34.1% from behind the arc and 70.5% from the foul line this season. Cincinnati is also tough on defense as per usual, sitting 6th in D-I, allowing just 60.3 points per game this season.
South Florida is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 37-17 in their last 54 conference games. Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. South Florida is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings between these two teams and 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.
This is the smallest the line has been since the two met in January of 2014, so the initial lean would probably go to Cincinnati as the Bearcats have won the last 4 meetings by an average of 27.2 points per game. However, Cincinnati has played a few close games as of late, with their last 3 games being decided by 9 points, including a bad 2-point loss to East Carolina. South Florida has had some close games as well to start conference play, including a 2-point loss to Temple and a 3-point loss to Tulsa. The difference for me is that South Florida has stepped up their game on the road and have stepped up to the challenge ATS against above average competition lately, so I’ll take a shot with South Florida and the points here.