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Clemson vs. Virginia - 1/12/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Virginia at Clemson
Date & Time Saturday January 12, 2019, 12:00 PM (EST)
Location
Littlejohn Coliseum
Clemson, SC
The Line
Virginia Cavaliers -6.5 -- Over/Under: 125.5
TV Channel
ACC Network
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NCAA BB | Virginia at Clemson
Nicole Sweet-USA TODAY Sports

The Virginia Cavaliers and the Clemson Tigers meet in ACC conference college basketball action from Littlejohn Coliseum on Saturday afternoon.

The Virginia Cavaliers will look to remain undefeated after improving to 14-0 with an 83-56 beatdown of Boston College in their last outing. Mamadi Diakite and De’Andre Hunter tied for the team lead with 18 points with Diakite shooting 9 of 12 from the floor with 7 rebounds and a pair of blocks while Hunter went 6 of 11 with a pair of threes and 6 rebounds. Ty Jerome added 13 points and 4 assists and Kyle Guy chipped in 10 points with 8 rebounds and a team-high 5 assists to round out the group of double-digit scorers for UVA in the win. Braxton Key matched his 9 points with a team-high 9 rebounds and a pair of blocks as well in the victory. Guy leads the Cavaliers in scoring with 15.4 points per game while Key leads Virginia in rebounding with 5.7 rebounds per game and Jerome leads the Cavaliers in assists with 4.4 assists per game this season. As a team, Virginia is averaging 74.6 points per game on 48% shooting from the field, 39.7% from behind the 3-point line and 78.1% from the foul line this season. The Cavaliers also own the nation’s tightest defensive unit, giving up the fewest points per game in D-I, allowing just 51.8 points per game on 37.5% shooting from the floor and 25.1% from 3-point range, 9th and 2nd in the country respectively.

The Clemson Tigers will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 61-53 loss to Syracuse in their last outing. Marcquise Reed led the Tigers with 16 points along with 6 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals while Elijah Thomas added 13 points and a team-high 7 rebounds as the only other Clemson player to score in double figures in the losing effort. Shelton Mitchell and Clyde Trapp each added 3 assists with Mitchell being held to just 2 of 11 shooting from the floor. Reed leads Clemson in scoring with 19.3 points per game while Thomas leads the Tigers in rebounding with 7.3 rebounds per game and Mitchell leads Clemson in the assist department with 3 assists per game this season. As a team, Clemson is averaging 73.3 points per game on 47.6% shooting from the field, 31.6% from behind the arc and 72.3% from the foul line this season.

Virginia is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games and 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games overall while the under is 38-18-1 in their last 57 conference games. Clemson is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. Virginia is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

I had expected Virginia to be the favorite here, but being honest, I’m surprised the line isn’t bigger. Clemson had serious issues against a Syracuse team that’s solid on defense as the Tigers couldn’t figure out that pesky 2-3 zone. Now, Clemson has to deal with the stingiest defense in the country in Virginia and to make matters worse, the Tigers haven’t been very good ATS at home this season. Outside of Nebraska, the Tigers haven’t played anybody else tough on their home floor this season and Clemson has covered just 2 of their 8 lined home games this season. Virginia has played well on the road and have had a decent amount of success ATS in this matchup so I’ll lay the points with Virginia here.

Pick:
Virginia -6.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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