California at Colorado
|Date & Time||Wednesday March 13, 2019, 5:30 PM (EDT)|
Las Vegas, NV
Colorado Buffaloes -10 -- O/U: 140
Pac 12 Network
The Cal Golden Bears and the Colorado Buffaloes meet in a Pac-12 tournament first round matchup in college basketball action from the T-Mobile Arena on Wednesday afternoon.
The Cal Golden Bears enter the tournament as the #12 seed, finishing the regular season with an 8-22 overall record, including 3-15 in Pac-12 conference play, ending up in the basement of the standings. Cal gave themselves some tough opposition in the non-conference portion of their schedule, with losses to Fresno State, San Francisco, Saint Mary’s, Temple and St. John’s while grabbing wins over Santa Clara and San Diego State. A loss to Seattle sparked a losing streak that lasted 16 games, leaving Cal at 0-15 in conference play before rattling off 3 straight wins to finish the year, including victories over Stanford and top-seeded Washington as double-digit underdogs. Justice Sueing led the Golden Bears in scoring and rebounding with 14.5 points and 6.1 rebounds per game while Paris Austin came 2nd with 11.7 points and a team-high 4.5 assists per game this season. Darius McNeill added 11.2 points and Matt Bradley chipped in 107 points per game this year as Cal’s 3rd and 4th double-digit scorers on the year. As a team, Cal is averaging 69 points per game on 42.8% shooting from the field, 34.9% from behind the arc and 72.3% from the foul line this season.
The Colorado Buffaloes enter the tournament as the #5 seed, finishing the year at 19-11, including 10-8 in Pac-12 conference play tied for 4th, missing out on a first round bye thanks to losing a head-to-head tiebreaker with Oregon State. Colorado picked up some quality wins out of conference, with victories over Drake, Omaha and Colorado State. Conference play didn’t start well for the Buffaloes, starting 2-6, the season appeared lost, before Colorado rattled off 5 straight wins and victories in 8 of their last 10 games down the stretch to finish above .500 in conference play, ending the year with 3 consecutive victories. Tyler Bey led Colorado with 13.3 points and 9.6 rebounds per game while McKinley Wright came right behind in 2nd with 13 points along with a team-high 4.9 assists per game this season. Shane Gatling was 3rd in team scoring with 10.5 points per game while Lucas Siewert had 10.1 points per game as Colorado’s 4th double-digit scorer this season. As a team, Colorado is averaging 75 points per game on 46.2% shooting from the field, 32.3% from behind the arc and 74.2% from the foul line this season.
Cal is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 conference games. Colorado is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games while the under is 20-7 in their last 27 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Cal is 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings between these two teams.
Colorado is the better team here and should definitely be favored given Cal’s struggles for most of the season and the amount of success Colorado has had ATS in this matchup. However, I doubted Cal to end the regular season and it blew up in my face against Stanford. All of a sudden Cal is playing with confidence now that they know what winning feels like. I’m not saying Cal wins this one outright too, but Colorado should be on upset alert as the Golden Bears have done well taking a step up in competition lately. I’ll take a shot with Cal and the points in this one.