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Colorado vs. USC - 3/9/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
USC at Colorado
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 5:00 PM (EST)
Location
CU Events Center
Boulder, CO
The Line
Colorado Buffaloes -6.5 -- Over/Under: 144.5
TV Channel
Pac-12 Networks - Los Angeles, Mountain & National Feeds
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NCAA BB | USC at Colorado
Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The USC Trojans will travel to the CU Events Center to take on the Colorado Buffaloes this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The USC Trojans lost their 3rd straight game and dropped to 15-15 (8-9 Pac-12) on the season after being defeated by the Utah Utes, 83-74, this past Thursday. USC struggled defensively against the Utah offense in this one and couldn’t fight back after a 6-0 Utes run gave Utah a 61-48 lead with 12:03 left in regulation. USC allowed Utah to shoot 52.5% from the field and was outrebounded by the Utes by a 32-23 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was Nick Rakocevic who had 17 points, 8 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal.

On the season, USC is averaging 76.6 ppg on 46.1% shooting from the field. The Trojans are averaging 8.5 three-pointers per game on 38.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, USC has been led by Bennie Boatwright (18.5 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 2.4 apg), Nick Rakocevic (14.9 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.4 bpg), Jonah Mathews (12.5 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 spg), and Kevin Porter Jr. (9.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg, 1.7 apg).

Defensively, USC is allowing their opponents to average 73.0 ppg on 42.3% shooting from the field. The Trojans have a rebound margin of -1.7 and a turnover margin of 1.5.

The Colorado Buffaloes won their 2nd straight game and improved to 18-11 (9-8 Pac-12) on the season after defeating the UCLA Bruins, 96-68, this past Thursday. Colorado dominated UCLA on both ends of the court in this one and had no trouble pulling away after taking a 45-30 lead early in the 2nd half. Colorado shot 49.3% from the field and outrebounded UCLA by a 47-35 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Buffaloes was Tyler Bey who had a double-double with 27 points, 13 rebounds, and 2 blocks.

On the season, Colorado is averaging 74.9 ppg on 46.1% shooting from the field. The Buffaloes are averaging 6.5 three-pointers per game on 32.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Colorado has been led by Tyler Bey (13.2 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 1.2 bpg), McKinley Wright IV (12.9 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 5.0 apg, 1.1 spg), Shane Gatling (10.6 ppg, 1.7 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.0 spg), and Lucas Siewert (10.2 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.7 apg).

Defensively, Colorado is holding their opponents to an average of 68.5 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Buffaloes have a rebound margin of 5.4 and a turnover margin of -0.8.

The Trojans are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Buffalos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

USC has lost 6 of their last 8 games and although their offense has been solid as they currently rank 79th in scoring offense, the Trojans have struggled defensively as they rank just 221st in scoring defense and 256th in rebound margin.

Colorado has won 7 of their last 9 games and has been solid on both ends of the court as they Buffaloes rank 116th in scoring offense, 83rd in FG%, and 95th in scoring defense.

USC has had a disappointing season and going into Colorado is probably not the answer for the Trojans as they’re just 2-8 on the road this season. Colorado in my opinion is a dark horse to win the Pac-12, especially if they continue to get major production from Tyler Bey & Shane Gatlin, and as I think the Buffaloes won’t have any trouble putting up any points against the USC defense, I’m taking Colorado to cover this mid-range home spread. Good Luck!

Pick:
Colorado Buffaloes -6.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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