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Dayton Flyers vs. Houston Baptist Huskies - 12/3/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Houston Baptist Huskies at Dayton Flyers
Date & Time Tuesday December 3, 2019, 7:00 PM (EST)
Location
University of Dayton Arena
Dayton, Ohio
The Line
Dayton -27.5; Total 167
TV Channel
ESPN+
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Dayton (5-1) proved that it was legit in Maui, but how legit is it? The Flyers will look to prove that their shiny new national ranking is worthwhile when they host the Houston Baptist Huskies (0-5) to the University of Dayton Arena on Tuesday. 

Dayton might have opened with a closer-than-expected 86-81 win over Indiana State, but it followed with a 19-point win over Charleston Southern and a 25-point victory over Omaha. The Flyers then traveled to the Maui Invitational and posted huge wins over good teams, like an 80-61 victory over Georgia and 89-62 win against Virginia Tech, before taking No. 4 Kansas to overtime in the final before finally falling 90-84.

The Flyers are the fifth-highest scoring team in NCAA Division I averaging 87.0 points per game and they have scored more than 80 points in each of their games this season. Against Kansas, senior Ryan Mikesell led the team with 19 points and NBA prospect Obi Toppin added 18 points and eight rebounds with three blocked shots. Junior Ibi Watson added 16 points off the bench and junior Jalen Crutcher scored 12 points in the loss.

Toppin leads the Flyers and ranks 14th in Division I with 23.0 points per game and he adds 8.3 rebounds per game. Mikesell scores 12.3 points per game while Crutcher scores 11.8 points with 6.7 assists per game, and Rodney Chatman scores 11.0 points per game.

So the Flyers probably deserve every bit of that new national ranking of No. 19, but can it beat Houston Baptist by 28? The answer probably comes down to it will win by 28 if it wants to. The Huskies have lost all five games they have played this season and have allowed more points in each game than the last opponent they faced. Houston Baptist opened the season allowing 80 in an eight-point loss to Tulsa, then gave up 95 in a 14-point loss to Oral Roberts. The Huskies then lost 103-74 to No. 11 Texas Tech, 111-68 to Michigan, and 112-73 to Houston.

In fact, Houston Baptist ranks 349th out of 350 NCAA Division I schools in scoring defense allowing 100.2 points per game. 

In the loss to Houston, Houston Baptist freshman Myles Pierre led his team scoring 15 points on just 5-of-15 shooting from the field while junior Ian DeBose added 13 points and senior Jalon Gates scored 12 points in the loss. Houston Baptist shot just 35.4 percent from the field in the loss. Gates leads his team in scoring with 17.8 points per game and DuBose adds 15.6 points per game for the Huskies.

Don’t overthink this one. Houston Baptist has lost by 29, 43, and 29 in its last three games and the Flyers want to prove that they are worth their national ranking. Dayton is also 4-2 against the spread this year and the Huskies are just 1-4. Take Dayton, watch the game, and see how much Dayton wins by, but most certainly by more than 28.

Pick:
Dayton -27.5

Kevin Eubanks has been covering sports in one facet or another for nearly three decades. His award-winning writing has been read the world over whether he was covering Liga MX soccer, Lakers basketball, or the U.S. Men's National Soccer Team, working media relations for multiple universities, or just covering high school sports or little league baseball. In short, Eubanks has done it all. He looks forward to sharing his knowledge with the world on Sports Chat Place.

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