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Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams - 1/14/20 College Basketball Pick, Odds & Prediction

Game
VCU Rams at Dayton Flyers
Date & Time Tuesday January 14, 2020, 8:00 PM (EST)
Location
Ud Arena
Dayton, OH
The Line
DAY -9.0 . Total 138.5
TV Channel
CBSS
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David Kohl-USA TODAY Sports

The VCU Rams are on the road for a matchup with the 15th ranked Dayton Flyers.  The Rams are (12-4), coming off a 65-56 loss to Rhode Island.  The Flyers are (14-2), after knocking off UMass, 88 to 60.

In the Rams loss to Rhode Island, VCU was led on offense by De'Riante Jenkins.  Jenkins converted on 6 of 14 attempts from the floor, recording 14 points.  The Rams shot 31% from the floor and 21% from 3-point range.  VCU lost the game from the foul line, as Rhode Island out scored the Rams 19 to 8 from the charity stripe.  VCU had an assist to turnover ratio of 10 to 14.  

In the Flyers win over UMass, Dayton was guided offensively by Obi Toppin.  Toppin was 7 of 11 from the floor, hitting 2 free throws, finishing with 16 points and 3 assists.  The Flyers shot 51% from the floor and 26% from distance.  Dayton out rebounded UMass, 40 to 31.  The Flyers forced 21 turnovers and secured 12 offensive rebounds, this helped Dayton attempt 18 more shots from the floor.  

Recent Betting Trends:

Rams are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games.

Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Dayton.

The under is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games.

Flyers are 10-0 SU in their last 10 home games.

Flyers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 A10 games.

The over is 7-0 in Flyers last 7 games against VCU.

The Flyers have been making quick work of their opposition this year.  Minus the two losses for the Flyers, Dayton has won 13 of their 14 games by double digits.  The Rams are 2-1 on the road, while Dayton is 9-0 at home.  Dayton has the 5th best scoring offense in the country, averaging over 83 per game.  Defensively, the Rams rank 28th in scoring defense, giving up over 60 per game.  An area where Dayton can find an advantage is the 3-point line, the Rams rank 164th in defending the 3.  Dayton is the 29th best 3-point shooting team.  I'll side with the Flyers at home.  Final score prediction, Dayton will win and cover, 76-65.      

Pick:
DAYTON FLYERS -9.0
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