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Dayton vs. St.Louis - 3/15/19 Atlantic 10 Tournament Quarterfinal College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
St.Louis at Dayton
Date & Time Friday March 15, 2019, 8:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Barclays Center
Brooklyn, NY
The Line
Dayton Flyers -3.5 -- O/U: 132
TV Channel
NBCS
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John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

The Saint Louis Billikens and the Dayton Flyers meet in an A-10 tournament quarterfinal matchup in college basketball action from the Barclays Center on Friday night.

The Saint Louis Billikens come into the quarterfinals after taking out Richmond in the second round by a final score of 71-68. Hasahn French led the Billikens with 22 points on 11 of 16 shooting with a team-high 12 rebounds for the double while Tramaine Isabell Jr. added 17 points with a team-high 5 assists and 3 triples and Javon Bess added 14 points with 6 rebounds to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Saint Louis in the win. Jordan Goodwin added 9 points with 10 rebounds and 4 assists of his own in the winning effort as well. Bess leads Saint Louis in scoring with 15.2 points per game while French leads the Billikens in rebounding with 8.4 rebounds per game and Goodwin leads Saint Louis in assists with 3.7 assists per game. As a team, Saint Louis is averaging 67.4 points per game on 41.6% shooting from the field, 30.5% from behind the arc and 59.9% from the foul line.

The Dayton Flyers enter the conference tournament as the #3 seed, finishing the regular season with an overall record of 21-10, including 13-5 in A-10 conference play. Dayton had a tough non-conference portion of their schedule, with a win over Butler as well as losses to Virginia, Oklahoma, Mississippi State, Auburn and Tulsa. Dayton got out to a hot start in conference play, winning 7 of their first 9 games before hitting a slight rocky patch, but the Flyers snapped out of it with wins in 5 of their final 6 games to lock up a top-4 spot and a crucial double-bye in the conference tournament. Obi Toppin led the Flyers in scoring with 14.4 points per game while Josh Cunningham came 2nd with 13.8 points per game and Jalen Crutcher came 3rd while leading the Flyers in assists with 13 points along with 5.7 assists per game. Ryan Mikesell finished as Dayton’s 4th double-digit scorer with 10.4 points per game while Trey Landers led the Flyers in rebounding with 6.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, Dayton is averaging 73.5 points per game on the 2nd-best field goal percentage in the country, shooting 50.5% from the field, along with 33.4% from behind the arc and 69% from the foul line this season.

Saint Louis is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games overall. Dayton is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 neutral site games. Saint Louis is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

These two teams split the regular season series, so it's no surprise to see a low line here. However, Saint Louis has been brutal on a neutral floor lately, while Dayton has been playing very well ATS as of late. I understand that Saint Louis has had some success in this matchup and this could be a close game throughout, but if it comes down to it late, I want the team that's better at the free throw line on my side, and while it's not by a lot, that team is Dayton. You can't trust a team that shoots less than 60% at the foul line in late game situations, so I'll lay the points with Dayton here.

Pick:
Dayton -3.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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