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Dayton vs. Western Michigan - 12/19/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Western Michigan Broncos (5-5) at Dayton Flyers (5-5)
Date & Time Wednesday December 19, 2018, 7:00 PM (EST)
Location Unknown Location Unknown Address
The Line
The Line: Dayton Flyers -11.5 -- Over/Under: 138.5
TV Channel
ESPN+
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Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The Western Michigan Broncos and Dayton Flyers meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the University of Dayton Arena.

The Western Michigan Broncos could use a bounce back win here after losing four of their last six games. The Western Michigan Broncos are averaging 72.4 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 74.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting. Seth Dugan is averaging 16.6 points and 9.9 rebounds while Michael Flowers is averaging 15.3 points and 3.6 assists. Josh Davis is the third double-digit scorer and Kawanise Wilkins is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Western Michigan Broncos are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 68 percent from the free throw line. The Western Michigan Broncos are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game. The Western Michigan Broncos have lost three of their last five road games.

The Dayton Flyers also need a victory here after losing five of their last six games. The Dayton Flyers are averaging 72.2 points on 48.7 percent shooting and allowing 66.9 points on 42.4 percent shooting. Josh Cunningham is averaging 14.8 points and 5.9 rebounds while Jalen Crutcher is averaging 13.3 points and 5.5 assists. Obadiah Toppin is the third double-digit scorer and Trey Landers is grabbing 7.4 rebounds. The Dayton Flyers are shooting 33.2 percent from beyond the arc and 67.1 percent from the free throw line. The Dayton Flyers are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game. The Dayton Flyers have won four of their last five home games.

The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. The Flyers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Mid-American, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss and 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 road games. The over is 13-6 in Flyers last 19 home games.

The Dayton Flyers aren't playing good enough basketball right now to be laying this sort of chalk, and they're just 2-3 ATS this season as a favorite. The Western Michigan Broncos are battle tested, as they played Cincinnati on the road and just went toe-to-toe with the Michigan Wolverines in their last game. Western Michigan has also improved defensively as of late, allowing just 70 points in its last five games. I'll take a stab with the points here, even if it's more of a fade from the Dayton Flyers than anything else. 

Pick:
Western Michigan Broncos +11.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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