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Duke vs. St. John's - 2/2/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
St. John's at Duke
Date & Time Saturday February 2, 2019, 12:00 PM (EST)
Location
Cameron Indoor Stadium
Durham, NC
The Line
Duke Blue Devils -18.5 -- Over/Under: 160.5
TV Channel
ESPN
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Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

The St. John’s Red Storm and the Duke Blue Devils meet in college basketball action from Cameron Indoor Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The St. John’s Red Storm will look to find some consistency after splitting their last 10 games following an 83-67 win over Creighton on the road last time out. Shamorie Ponds led St. John’s with 26 points on 10 of 17 shooting with 4 threes, along with team-highs of 8 rebounds, 8 assists and a whopping 6 steals. Mustapha Heron added 17 points and 7 rebounds while LJ Figueroa had 15 points with 5 rebounds, 3 assists and a pair of steals. Bryan Trimble Jr. chipped in 11 points with 3 threes to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for St. John’s in the winning effort while Marvin Clark II had 9 points and 7 boards of his own in the win. Ponds leads St. John’s with an average of 20.9 points and 5.7 assists per game while Figueroa leads the Red Storm in rebounding with 6.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, St. John’s is averaging 82.2 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field, 38.5% from behind the 3-point line and 71.5% from the foul line this season.

The Duke Blue Devils will look to build on their current 4-game winning streak after picking up an 83-61 win over Notre Dame in their last outing. Zion Williamson led the Blue Devils with 26 points on 10 of 12 shooting with a team-high 9 rebounds, 4 assists and 4 blocks while RJ Barrett had 17 points with 3 threes and 9 rebounds of his own. Cam Reddish added 13 points, 3 assists and a pair of steals to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Duke in the win, while Marques Bolden added 8 points and 7 rebounds and Tre Jones chipped in 9 points with a team-high 5 assists and a pair of steals as well. Barrett leads Duke in scoring with 23.6 points per game while Williamson leads the Blue Devils in rebounding with 9.2 rebounds per game and Jones leads the Dukies in assists with 5.6 assists per game this season. As a team, Duke is averaging the 4th-most points per game in the country, averaging 87.2 points per game on 48.5% shooting from the field, 31.1% from 3-point range and 67.9% from the foul line this season. Duke is also tough on defense, allowing the 8th-lowest field goal percentage against this year, allowing opponents to shoot just 38.6% from the field this season.

St. John’s is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall while the over is 5-0-2 in their last 7 games against the ACC. Duke is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a win and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games while the over is 13-3 in their last 16 games against the Big East. St. John’s is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams at Duke.

Duke should be and is rightfully favored here as they’ve been picking off opposition left and right and are outscoring teams by 26.3 points per game at home this season. However, St. John’s is no slouch and have a history of hanging around with Duke, with 5 of the last 6 meetings decided by single digits, including a 4-point Red Storm win last season. Granted, the Blue Devils starting lineup has drastically changed since then, but I still think St. John’s has enough talent to keep this one within the number so I’ll take a stab at St. John’s and the points.

Pick:
St. John's +18.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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