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East Tennessee State vs. Chattanooga - 3/9/19 Southern Conference Quarterfinal College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Chattanooga at East Tennessee State
Date & Time Saturday March 9, 2019, 2:30 PM (EST)
Location
U.S. Cellular Center
Asheville, NC
The Line
East Tennessee State Buccaneers -13 -- O/U: 141
TV Channel
ESPN+
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NCAA BB | Chattanooga at East Tennessee State
Frank Victores-USA TODAY Sports

The Chattanooga Mocs and the East Tennessee State Buccaneers meet in a SoCon quarterfinal matchup in college basketball action from the U.S. Cellular Center on Saturday afternoon.

The Chattanooga Mocs enter the conference tournament as the #5 seed, finishing with a 12-19 overall record, including 7-11 in Southern Conference play this season. Chattanooga started with a decent road win over Charlotte, but found themselves in tough with losses to teams like Michigan, Georgia State and Ole Miss. The Mocs got out to a solid 5-2 start in conference play, but the wheels would fall off, as Chattanooga lost 9 of 11 down the stretch, locking themselves in at the 5-spot. Kevin Easley led the Mocs in scoring and rebounding with 14.4 points and 6.5 rebounds per game while Donovann Totley came 2nd in scoring with 11.4 points per game and led the Mocs in assists with 3 assists per game this season. Jerry Johnson Jr. scoed 10.1 points per game and Ramon Vila added 10 points per game to round out the quartet of double-digit scorers for Chattanooga on the year. As a team, Chattanooga is averaging 71.1 points per game on 44.3% shooting from the field, 36.1% from behind the 3-point line and 68.6% from the foul line this season.

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers come into this year’s tournament as the #4 seed, losing out on a tiebreaker with Furman for the #3 seed after finishing the year with a 23-8 overall record, including 13-5 in SoCon play. The Buccaneers had some tough losses out of conference to Creighton, Illinois and Georgia State, but did get a couple of wins over Georgia Southern and Wyoming heading into the thick of conference play. ETSU lost their conference opener to eventually-undefeated Wofford, but followed that up with wins in 9 of their next 10 games. The Bucs struggled with holding that up down the stretch, winning 4 of their next 7 but still holding onto a top-4 spot in the conference. Tray Boyd III led the Buccaneers with 11.8 points per game while Jeromy Rodriguez was 2nd in scoring and led the team in rebounding with 11.5 points and 11 rebounds per game. Patrick Good was 3rd on the team in scoring with 11 points per game while Bo Hodges came next with 10.3 points per game to round out the scoring in double figures for ETSU this season. Isaiah Tisdale led the Buccaneers in assists with 3 assists this season. As a team, East Tennessee State is averaging 79.8 points per game on 48.9% shooting from the field, 36.1% from behind the arc and 66.4% from the foul line this season.

Chattanooga is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record and 20-42-1 ATS in their last 63 conference games while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 games overall. East Tennessee State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 conference games. Chattanooga is 0-7 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

I’d like to give Chattanooga a shot here, but the fact is that the Mocs haven’t had any luck against East Tennessee State for a few years now, and that includes this year where the Buccaneers won the two regular season meetings by an average of 19.5 points per game. I just don’t think Chattanooga has enough to keep up with the Bucs here, so I’ll lay the points with East Tennessee State in this one.

Pick:
East Tennessee State -13

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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