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East Tennessee State vs. Furman - 12/29/18 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Furman Paladins (12-1) at East Tennessee State Buccaneers (10-4)
Date & Time Saturday December 29, 2018, 4:00 PM (EST)
Location
The Line
The Line: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -2.5 -- Over/Under: 138.5
TV Channel
ESPN+
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The Furman Paladins will travel to the Freedom Hall Civic Center to take on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers this Saturday afternoon in College Basketball action.

The Furman Paladins suffered their first loss of the season, dropping to 12-1 on the year, after being defeated by the LSU Tigers, 75-57 on December 21st. Furman struggled on both ends of the court against the Tigers and couldn’t fight back after a 12-4 LSU run gave the Tigers a 61-48 lead with 7:31 left in regulation. Furman allowed LSU to shoot 55.4% from the field while the Paladins shot just 37.5% from the field and 29.0% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Paladins was Andrew Brown who had 15 points, 4 rebounds, 1 assist, and a steal.

On the season, Furman is averaging 81.6 ppg on 47.8% shooting from the field. The Paladins are averaging 10.7 three-pointers per game on 36.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Furman has been led by Jordan Lyons (17.8 ppg, 1.6 rpg, 2.2 apg, 1.2 spg), Matt Rafferty (16.5 ppg, 9.2 rpg, 4.4 apg, 2.2 spg, 1.6 bpg), Clay Mounce (11.9 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.2 spg, 1.2 bpg), and Alex Hunter (9.1 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 3.9 apg, 1.5 spg).

Defensively, Furman is holding their opponents to an average of 65.7 ppg on 42.0% shooting from the field. The Paladins have a rebound margin of 4.1 and a turnover margin of 3.3.

The East Tennessee State Buccaneers won their 2nd straight game and improved to 10-4 on the season after defeating the Norfolk State Spartans, 89-61, to win the Sun Bowl Invitational last Saturday. East Tennessee State led by a 45-30 margin at halftime and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 20-point lead early in the 2nd half. East Tennessee State shot 52.6% from the field and 50.0% from beyond the arc in the victory. Leading the way for the Buccaneers was Tray Boyd III who had 24 points, 2 rebounds, and an assist in 17 minutes from off the bench.

On the season, East Tennessee State is averaging 78.7 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field. The Buccaneers are averaging 8.4 three-pointers per game on 35.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, East Tennessee State has been led by Tray Boyd II (12.1 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 1.9 apg), Patrick Good (11.2 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 1.7 apg), Jeromy Rodriguez (11.1 ppg, 11.7 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.2 spg), and Isaiah Tisdale (9.4 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, East Tennessee State is holding their opponents to an average of 78.7 ppg on 47.2% shooting from the field. The Buccaneers have a rebound margin of 14.1 and a turnover margin of 0.1.

The Paladins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. Southern opponents. The Buccaneers are 24-5-1 ATS in their last 30 Saturday games and 29-11 ATS in their last 40 home games.

Furman might have suffered their first loss of the season, however, the Paladins have been incredible so far this season as they rank 44th in scoring offense & 60th in scoring defense while picking up quality wins over Villanova & Loyola-Chicago. East Tennessee State has won 4 of their last 5 games and once again should be one of the better teams in a better than average Southern Conference this season as they currently rank 85th in scoring offense, 43rd in scoring defense, and 1st in rebound margin. I’m a big fan of this Furman team, however, I think they are favorites of the better public which is going to have a negative effect on their lines. East Tennessee State is a solid team that went 1-1 agianst Furman last season in two close games and as the Buccaneers are 7-0 at home this season, I think East Tennessee State does enough with covers this small home spread.  

Pick:
East Tennessee State Buccaneers -2.5

Brett has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2014 and currently focuses on College Basketball, College Football, and Fantasy Sports!

We have to deal with Brett being a New England sports fan as he is from New Hampshire so you can imagine how willing he is to talk about Boston sports.

Brett loves diving into the numbers/analytics of his match-ups to provide you with not only great information but most importantly, winners!

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