East Tennessee State vs. Samford - 1/3/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Samford Bulldogs (11-4) at East Tennessee State Buccaneers (11-4)
The Line: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -9 -- Over/Under: 139.5
TV: ESPN 3
The Samford Bulldogs will travel to the Freedom Hall Civic Center to take on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers this Thursday night in College Basketball action.
The Samford Bulldogs snapped their 2-game losing streak and improved to 11-4 (1-1 Southern) on the season after defeating the VMI Keydets, 96-68, this past Saturday. Samford used a 14-1 run near the end of the 1st half to take a 42-30 halftime lead and pulled away after taking a 58-36 lead with 13:58 left in regulation. Samford shot 56.5% from the field and outrebounded VMI by a 46-28 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was Ruben Guerrero who had 23 points, 9 rebounds, & 4 blocks.
On the season, Samford is averaging 78.0 ppg on 48.4% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs are averaging 7.4 three-pointers per game on 39.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Samford has been led by Ruben Guerrero (15.1 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 2.1 bpg), Josh Sharkey (14.5 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 6.2 apg, 2.8 spg), Brandon Austin (11.8 ppg, 4.3 rpg), Myron Gordon (11.2 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.4 apg).
Defensively, Samford is allowing their opponents to average 69.5 ppg on 38.8% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs have a rebound margin of 3.0 and a turnover margin of -1.3.
The East Tennessee State Buccaneers won their 3rd straight game and improved to 11-4 (1-1 Southern) on the season after defeating the Furman Paladins, 79-56, this past Saturday. East Tennessee State gave Furman their worst loss of the season and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 52-36 lead with 14:19 left in regulation. East Tennessee State shot 60.0% from the field while holding Furman to just 37.0% shooting from the field & 22.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Buccaneers was Jeromy Rodriguez who had a double-double with 19 points, 11 rebounds, 2 assists, and a block.
On the season, East Tennessee State is averaging 78.7 ppg on 47.9% shooting from the field. The Buccaneers are averaging 8.3 three-pointers per game on 36.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, East Tennessee State has been led by Jeromy Rodriguez (11.7 ppg, 11.7 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.1 spg), Tray Boyd III (11.3 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 1.8 apg), Patrick Good (11.2 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 1.9 apg), and Isaiah Tisdale (9.2 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 3.2 apg, 1.2 spg).
Defensively, East Tennessee State is holding their opponents to an average of 64.0 ppg on 40.0% shooting from the field. The Buccaneers have a rebound margin of 13.9 and a turnover margin of -0.1.
The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Samford has been solid on both sides of the ball this season as they rank 45th in FG% & 31st in defensive FG% and was competitive in difficult matchups earlier this season against Belmont, Tennessee, and UNC Greensboro. East Tennessee State has won 5 of their last 6 games and has also been outstanding on both ends of the court as they rank T-81st in scoring offense, T-39th in scoring defense, and 1st in rebound margin. Samford is a team that East Tennessee State shouldn’t take lightly, however, the Buccaneers are an extremely difficult team to play at home (7-0 this season) and as they beat Samford by an average of 19.0 ppg in their two matchups agianst the Bulldogs last season, I think the Buccaneers do enough to cover this home spread.