Eastern Kentucky vs. Murray State - 2/16/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Murray State at Eastern Kentucky
Saturday, February 16, 2019 at 7:30 PM (McBrayer Arena)
Eastern Kentucky Colonels +8.5 -- Over/Under: 162.5
The Murray State Racers will travel to McBrayer Arena to take on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels this Saturday night in College Basketball action.
The Murray State Racers won their 4th straight game and improved to 20-4 (11-2 OVC) on the season after defeating the Austin Peay Governors, 73-71, this past Thursday. Murray State was solid on the offensive end on the road against the Governors and was able to hold on late after taking a 67-56 lead with 7:38 left in regulation. Murray State shot 48.3% from the field and committed just 9 turnovers in the victory. Leading the way for the Racers was Ja Morant who had 32 points, 6 rebounds, 7 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal.
On the season, Murray State is averaging 82.3 ppg on 49.0% shooting from the field. The Racers are averaging 8.0 three-pointers per game on 34.7% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Murray State has been led by Ja Morant (24.3 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 10.1 apg, 2.0 spg), Shaq Buchanan (13.3 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.8 apg, 2.0 spg), Tevin Brown (11.9 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg), and Darnell Cowart (9.4 ppg, 6.1 rpg).
Defensively, Murray State is holding their opponents to an average of 67.3 ppg on 41.2% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Murray State has a rebound margin of 15.0 and a turnover margin of 2.5.
The Eastern Kentucky Colonels dropped to 11-15 (4-9 OVC) on the season after being defeated by the Morehead State Eagles, 78-72, this past Thursday. Eastern Kentucky had a surpingsly difficult time on the offensive end against the Eagles and couldn’t fight back after Morehead State took a 62-48 lead midway through the 2nd half. Eastern Kentucky shot just 33.3% from the field and 20.0% from beyond the arc in the loss. Leading the way for the Colonels was Nick Mayo who had a double-double with 32 points, 11 rebounds, 1 assist, 1 block, and 3 steals.
On the season, Eastern Kentucky is averaging 83.3 ppg on 42.4% shooting from the field. The Colonels are averaging 8.7 three-pointers per game on 32.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Eastern Kentucky has been led by Nick Mayo (23.1 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg, 1.8 bpg), Jomaru Brown (13.6 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.8 spg), Dujuanta Weaver (10.1 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 2.0 apg, 1.3 spg), and Kelvin Robinson (8.2 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 3.4 apg, 1.4 spg).
Defensively, Eastern Kentucky is allowing their opponents to average 82.6 ppg on 46.4% shooting from the field. The Colonels have a rebound margin of -3.3 and a turnover margin of 4.5.
The Racers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Colonels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games and 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Murray State has won 12 of their last 14 games and come into this game ranked 24th in scoring offense, 11th in FG%, and 74th in scoring defense.
Eastern Kentucky has lost 5 of their last 6 games and although their offense can put up points as they rank 17th in scoring offense, the Colonels have struggled defensively as they rank just 346th in scoring defense and 304th in defensive FG%.
Ja Morant and Murray State are one of the more dangerous mid-major teams in the country, however, the Racers haven’t been as dominating on the road as of late as they are just 2-1 in their last 3 road games with those two victories being by just a combined 6 points. Eastern Kentucky can really struggle defensively, however, the Colonels are a solid 8-3 at home this season and as they were competitive in a 12-point loss at Murray State earlier this season, I think Nick Mayo and the Colonels will be able to do enough with the points to cover in this one. Good luck!