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Florida vs. Vanderbilt - 2/13/19 College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Vanderbilt at Florida
Date & Time Wednesday February 13, 2019, 9:00 PM (EST)
Location
Stephen C. O'Connell Center
Gainesville, FL
The Line
Florida Gators -11.5 -- Over/Under: 131.5
TV Channel
SEC Network, ESPNU
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Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Florida Gators meet in SEC college basketball action from the Stephen C. O’Connell Center on Wednesday night.

The Vanderbilt Commodores come into this game looking for their first conference win to snap an ugly 11-game losing streak after a 77-67 loss to Alabama in their last outing. Saben Lee led the ‘Dores with 24 points on 9 of 13 shooting with 5 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 steals while Simisola Shittu added 11 points as the only other Vanderbilt player to score in double figures in the losing effort. Aaron Nesmith added 6 points and a team-high 7 rebounds and 3 assists as well in the loss. Lee leads Vanderbilt with an average of 13.9 points and 3.9 assists per game while Shittu leads the Commodores in rebounding with 7 boards per game this season. As a team, Vanderbilt is averaging 73.6 points per game on 44% shooting from the field, 33.8% from behind the arc and 68.1% from the foul line this season.

The Florida Gators will be out to snap a 3-game losing streak of their own after a 73-61 loss to Tennessee in their last outing. Noah Locke led the Gators with 17 points on 6 of 10 shooting with 5 threes while Jalen Hudson added 15 points and KeVaughn Allen chipped in 11 points with 3 threes and 7 rebounds to round out the trio of double-digit scorers for Florida in the loss. Kevarrius Hayes added 7 points with team-highs of 9 rebounds and 3 blocks along with a pair of steals while Andrew Nembhard dished out a team-high 5 assists as well in the defeat. Allen leads Florida in scoring with 12.8 points per game while Hayes leads the Gators in rebounding with 6.2 rebounds per game and Nembhard leads Florida in assists with 5.6 assists per game this season. As a team, Florida is averaging 68.4 points per game on 41.8% shooting from the field, 34.5% from behind the arc and 69.2% from the foul line this season.

Vanderbilt is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 conference games while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Florida is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the under is 21-7 in their last 28 games following a loss. Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams at Florida. The underdog is also 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these two teams.

Vandy has struggled on the road this season, but with lines like these, it’s no wonder why the underdog has had so much success. I understand that Florida’s losses have come to Auburn, Kentucky and Tennessee during this losing streak, but the fact is that the Gators have had no luck ATS over the last few weeks and have been owned by Vanderbilt ATS in this matchup both at home and overall in recent years. Sure, Vanderbilt isn’t a world beater and is in tough to win this game on the road, but the Commodores aren’t completely inept and are more than capable of adding to their success in this matchup. I just think that Florida doesn’t deserve to be favored by more than a couple of points, so I’ll take the points with Vanderbilt here.

Pick:
Vanderbilt +11.5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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