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George Washington vs. Massachusetts - 3/13/19 A-10 Tournament First Round College Basketball Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Massachusetts at George Washington
Date & Time Wednesday March 13, 2019, 1:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Barclays Center
Brooklyn, NY
The Line
UMass Minutemen -5 -- O/U: 140
TV Channel
ESPN+
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NCAA BB | Massachusetts at George Washington
Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

The UMass Minutemen and the George Washington Colonials meet in an A-10 tournament first round matchup in college basketball action from the Barclays Center on Thursday afternoon.

The UMass Minutemen enter the tournament as the #13 seed, finishing the year with an 11-20 record, including a 4-14 conference record, losing out on a head-to-head tiebreaker to George Washington. UMass gave themselves some tough non-conference opposition, with losses to Nevada, Temple and Georgia as well as a road win over Providence. Conference play was bumpy for UMass, starting the year 0-6 and 1-9, never establishing a winning streak over the course of conference play. Luwane Pipkins led the Minutemen in scoring and assists with 16 points and 5.2 assists per game while Carl Pierre came 2nd in scoring with 11.8 as the only other double-digit scorer for UMass. Rashaan Holloway added a team-high 5.8 rebounds per game this season. As a team, UMass is averaging 70.9 points per game on 44.4% shooting from the field, 35.2% from behind the arc and 69% from the foul line this season.

The George Washington Colonials come into this tournament as the #12 seed, finishing the regular season with an 8-23 record, including a 4-14 mark in conference play, winning out on the previously mentioned tiebreaker with UMass. GW got out to a slow start, starting 0-5 and 1-7, including losses to Virginia, Michigan and South Carolina just to name a few. George Washington started conference play by splitting their first 4 games but that’s when the wheels started to fall off, as GW dropped to 3-5 and proceeded to lose 9 of their final 10 games, including their final 5 games to finish the season. DJ Williams led George Washington in scoring with 13.9 points per game while Maceo Jack came 2nd with 11.3 points per game and Terry Nolan Jr. finished 3rd with 10.4 points per game. Justin Mazzulla leads the Colonials in assists with 3.6 assists per game and Javier Langarica leads George Washington in rebounding with 4.9 rebounds per game this season. As a team, George Washington is averaging 63.6 points per game on 41% shooting from the field, 31% from behind the arc and 68.5% from the foul line this season.

UMass is 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 Wednesday games and 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. George Washington is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games while the over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 Wednesday games. UMass is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

I can understand UMass being favored on a neutral floor against a George Washington team that wasn’t very good this season. However, George Washington won the only meeting this season by 12 points and have covered in each of the last 6 meetings against the Minutemen. I just think the wrong team is favored here, so even on a neutral floor in the conference tournament where anything can happen, I like the value of the points with George Washington in a game the Colonials can win outright.

Pick:
George Washington +5

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and produce winners on a consistent basis. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball.

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